Tag: trump polls
First Year Poll: Americans Scorn Trump For Making Everything Worse

First Year Poll: Americans Scorn Trump For Making Everything Worse

When President Donald Trump took the oath of office, Americans approved of the job he was doing by a nearly 10-percentage-point margin as they hoped he would lower costs and make life a little easier—a number that horrified Democrats amid fears that Teflon Don and his MAGA movement were untouchable entities.

Yet now, almost exactly a year into his term, Americans overwhelmingly believe Trump has been a failure and that his policies and actions have made things worse in almost every sector of American life, according to a new CNN/SSRS poll released on Friday.

Nearly two-thirds of Americans (58%) think Trump's second term has been a failure, and a majority (55%) say his policies have worsened economic conditions in the country—the very thing voters put him back in office to fix.

CNN/SSRS also polled Americans on whether they believe Trump has made progress on or exacerbated the issues he pledged to tackle in his dark inaugural address. The results there were also damning, with a plurality saying Trump made things worse on every single issue CNN surveyed.

On Trump's pledge to restore safety in the U.S., 39% say he's made things worse as opposed to the 35% who say he's made progress. On bringing law and order to American cities, 42% say he's made things worse, while 33% say he's made progress. On restoring free speech, 41% say he's made things worse, compared with just 27% who say he's made progress. On ending the weaponization of the Department of Justice—which was never weaponized in the first place and correctly charged law-breaking Trump with multiple crimes—41% say he's made things worse, and just 21% say he's made progress.

Most embarrassingly, 47% of Americans say he has not been a peacemaker and a unifier—despite Trump's deluded belief that he has ended multiple wars.

Of course, all of this was predictable.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris, as well as the Democrats who supported her, warned that a second Trump term would be a disaster, with him abusing his power to punish those who don't support him and to enrich himself and his wealthy benefactors. And that's exactly what he's done.

He has weaponized the Department of Justice to go after his perceived enemies. He's deployed a lawless, ill-trained immigration gestapo to brutalize Americans in the streets and to carry out his racist and evil anti-immigration agenda. He pardoned violent insurrectionists and other rich fraudsters who used their considerable means to bribe their way to freedom. He's cut benefits to the poor and slashed the federal government in a way that hurt federal workers while also costing taxpayers money. His idiotic trade policy has not only failed to lower prices but also tanked the job market. And he's literally destroyed part of the White House to turn it into his own version of his tacky Mar-a-Lago club.

Turns out, America isn’t a fan of all that. A year into his term, just 39% approve of the job he's doing in office, according to the CNN/SSRS survey—a terrible position for him to be in ahead of the midterm elections.

When Trump took office, Democrats were despondent, thinking that Americans approved of Trump and that there was nothing they could do to turn public opinion on their side.

Yet we now see that Trump is vulnerable. Indeed, with less than a year to go before the midterms, Democrats are the favorites to win control of the House and may even have a shot at flipping the Senate.

And, believe it or not, a lot of that is thanks to Democratic messaging. Democrats have tied Trump’s evil moves to the fact that he’s focused on everything but making life more affordable for Americans.

So, as horrible as everything is, keep fighting the good fight. Trump and the GOP are not untouchable.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Latest Polls Show Trump With Worst Ratings Of His Second Term

Latest Polls Show Trump With Worst Ratings Of His Second Term

President Donald Trump's approval rating sunk to a second-term low on Monday, amid his refusals to address the country's high cost of living while he lives lavishly on the taxpayer dime.

Trump's average approval rating now stands at 42.9 percent, according to election analyst Nate Silver, the lowest since he retook office in January. Trump's disapproval rating is also at a second-term high, with an average of 54.6 percent of the public opposing the job he's doing as president.

Individual surveys from high-quality pollsters bear more bad news for Trump.

A CNN/SSRS poll released Monday found that just 37 percent of U.S. adults approve of the job he’s doing in office, while a whopping 63 percent disapprove. That puts Trump's net approval rating at a staggering 26 points underwater, a 10-point drop since July, when CNN/SSRS conducted its previous poll.

In fact, according to CNN’s data, Trump's disapproval rating is now the highest it's ever been, surpassing the 62 percent disapproval he clocked after he fomented the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021.

It’s obvious why Americans are unhappy with Trump.

Trump’s lawless immigration goons are stoking unrest in cities across the country. He’s starving the poor as leverage to try to end the government shutdown—a shutdown that Americans blame him and the GOP for. And as costs continue to rise for Americans, Trump is instead focused on levying nonsensical tariffs on consumers. And all of this is happening while he renovates the White House to be able to host even more of his billionaire buddies.

Trump's sinking approval rating likely spells doom for Republicans in a trio of crucial elections taking place on Tuesday. Republicans are trying to win the New Jersey gubernatorial election, defend their hold on Virginia's governorship, and defeat a ballot measure in California that, if successful, will allow Democrats to cancel out some of the GOP's corrupt gerrymandering in other states.

So far, polling shows Democrats on track to win all three of those elections—with Virginia and California showing Democrats likely to outperform Kamala Harris' 2024 presidential margins in those states.

"Dems are the precipice of delivering a yuge electoral blow to Trump," CNN polling analyst Harry Enten wrote in a post on X. "They lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year."

In fact, new polling shows Democrats are expanding their lead on the congressional generic ballot—which measures the party voters want to see control Congress after the next election.

A new poll for NBC News, conducted by Hart Research Associates and Public Opinion Strategies, found Democrats with an 8-percentage-point lead on the generic ballot, a massive swing from March, when Democrats had just a 1-point lead.

Turns out, excusing Trump's corrupt actions is not a recipe for success.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Trump's Negatives Up: People Want Cheaper Groceries -- And Free Speech

Trump's Negatives Up: People Want Cheaper Groceries -- And Free Speech

In numerous posts, I have expressed some degree of puzzlement as to why this administration keeps doing things that regular folks don’t like. After all, they are led by a president who, as chaotic, corrupt and self-dealing as he is, has good antennae for working-class sentiment. Today, I’d like to speak freely, while one still can, and say a few words about why I believe free speech is the latest item of that list.

Let me remind you of my rap in this space, and I’ll be brief, because I don’t want to get out of my depth. I think of myself as a political economist, and I find that works best when I weight the two sides of that equation at 30 and 70 percent, respectively.

Trump has a reliable base who will stick with him no matter what. There was some overheated journalism around the base’s negative reaction to his suppression of the Epstein files, but it predictably fizzled. These are what political consultants call “unpersuadeables.” I don’t know their share of the electorate, but people say they’re in the 35-40% range, though that could be high. His “strongly approve” poll rating typical runs short of 30%

But the folks who put him over the top electorally—the marginal Trump voter—are not in this group. They didn’t like a lot of what they saw under Biden, particularly regarding affordability, and Trump argued he could get them their old prices back (not the whole story, of course).

Those folks are not happy (see figure above) and I see little prospect of their moods improving. Trump is 25% underwater on inflation and the cost-of-living. Some of that is incumbency bias (it’s his vibecession now) but it’s also definitely his fault, as most people recognize that his tariffs push the wrong way on affordability. Health care—another big affordability issue—is closely behind the cost-of-living’s disapproval rating, and note that some of most egregious coverage cuts from Trump’s budget bill haven’t even hit folks yet.

Why, then, does he continue to dig this hole for himself? First, he doesn’t believe any of the above negative polling or data, and will fire any messengers who try to intrude on his alt reality. Second, he overestimates his ability to convince the public not to believe their lying eyes. People’s number one, top concern right now is affordability and price increases, while he and his minions endlessly rattle on about how there’s no inflation and no tariff passthrough.

Now, they’re coming for free speech. They believe they can use their powers of persuasion to build a false narrative connecting free speech to violent radicalization, and, again, that may resonate with the MAGA base (though some MAGA reps are complaining of the rise of the “woke right”).

But if they continue to overreach on suppressing free speech, it will penetrate the lives of people who pay little attention to these types of arguments, folks for whom Fed independence and government shutdowns and budget reconciliation are just more DC noise. But when your policies make groceries and furniture and toys more expensive, when they see their kids taking ever longer to find work because you cracked what was a very welcoming labor market (see figure), and when you start removing people from TV because you don’t like what they say, that far surpasses DC noise.


It doesn’t matter that Jimmy Kimmel’s audience was relatively small. It matters that you’re intruding into normal people’s lives in ways that both make those lives more expensive and more attentive to your excessive reach. “Wait, they’re now kicking late-night talk-show hosts off of TV?!” is as politically salient—and damaging—to the incumbent as “Wait, they’re making my groceries cost more?!”

Anymore of such analysis and I’ll be over my skis. And the above is testable—let’s see what forthcoming polls say on the matter. But I think I’m right based on the simple principle that eventually, policy matters and bad policy redounds on its parents, especially when it breaks through into their daily lives.

And these folks just keep shoving terrible policies down America’s throat.

Reprinted with permission from Econjared.

Trump Still Claiming He 'Won Election By Landslide' As Polls Plunge

Trump Still Claiming He 'Won Election By Landslide' As Polls Plunge

President Donald Trump and his MAGA allies have repeatedly used words like "landslide," "historic" and "mandate" to describe his narrow victory over former Vice President Kamala Harris in 2024.

In reality, it was a close election: Trump won the national popular vote by roughly 1.5 percent, and his victories in key swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin were in the low single digits. But during a late April interview with journalists Ashley Parker and Michael Scherer for The Atlantic, Trump doubled down on his "landslide" rhetoric — even as his poll numbers plummet.

Trump told Parker and Scherer, "What can be said? I won the election in a landslide, and there isn't anyone who can say anything about that. What can they write about?"

During the interview, Trump painted himself as enjoying great popularity. But a late April poll from NBC News finds his approval at 45 percent. And in a Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos poll released in late April, Trump's approval is at only 39 percent.Regardless, Trump, true to form, projected a lot of confidence during the interview.

"Trump and his team realized that they could behave with near impunity by embracing controversies and scandals that would have taken down just about any other president — as long as they showed no weakness," Parker and Scherer explain. "Even now, Trump — who described himself to us as 'a very positive thinker' — struggles to admit that his return to power was a comeback."

The reporters add, "To concede that he'd had to come back would be to admit that he had fallen in the first place. "

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

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