Tag: blue states
President Trump

How Trump Is Waging An Illegal War On Blue America

Donald Trump is using the powers of the presidency — augmented with powers that the Constitution doesn’t give him — to make war on blue states and their officials.

There have been critical historical periods when presidents used federal law to enforce constitutional rights against recalcitrant state officials. But never since the Civil War, if then, have we seen a president undertake a methodical program of harassment and domination of states controlled by his political opponents.

Begin with the ongoing crisis in Los Angeles. The fundamental point is that the crisis is entirely of Trump’s making. There is no tenable argument that federalizing the National Guard is necessary to quell unrest, which has already subsided and never approached the levels that justified prior federal interventions.

On the contrary, California and its governor have been adamant that Trump’s power play is unwelcome, and that the state’s law enforcement resources are fully capable of handling any disturbance. They took the unusual step of suing the Trump administration, and an opinion by Judge Chuck Breyer upheld their claim. (It is currently administratively stayed in the Ninth Circuit, which heard argument earlier this week. Breyer, for his part, is going ahead with a preliminary injunction hearing tomorrow.)

But the point here is less about Trump’s potential authority to charge into LA than his zeal to do so over the state’s objections. As usual, the dispute features Trump’s lies to justify his excessive response — grossly exaggerating the degree to which LA is under siege.

Importantly, Trump’s order purporting to authorize his intervention isn’t limited to Los Angeles; it could apply anywhere.

Indeed, earlier this week he issued a Truth Social message proclaiming that "we must expand efforts to detain and deport aliens in America's largest Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York, where Millions upon Millions of Illegal Aliens reside."

Why those cities? According to Trump: “These, and other such Cities, are the core of the Democrat Power Center, where they use Illegal Aliens to expand their Voter Base, cheat in Elections, and grow the Welfare State, robbing good paying Jobs and Benefits from Hardworking American Citizens.”

It’s a breathtaking statement from an American president. The various accusations against Democrats are patently false. But even setting that aside, exploiting a supposed national crisis to demonize political opponents is antithetical to a president’s role in moments of national crisis.

Nor is it an isolated example. This week saw horrific murders and attempted murders by a Trump partisan in Minnesota — exactly the kind of violence long feared as a product of Trump’s incendiary rhetoric.

What do we expect from a president in such circumstances? Consider President George W. Bush after the 2007 Virginia Tech shooting, saying the tragedy “is felt in every American classroom and every American community.” Or President Barack Obama, who called then-Republican Governor of Arizona Jan Brewer to offer federal resources after the shooting of Gabby Giffords. They and other presidents acted swiftly to reassure and unify the nation and reaffirm broad democratic values.

Trump’s reaction was to refuse even to call Minnesota Governor Tim Walz. Instead, he vilified Walz as a “terrible governor” and a “grossly incompetent person,” saying any call would be a waste of time.

It fell to Walz and the entire bipartisan Minnesota congressional delegation — four Democrats and four Republicans — to strike the proper note of unity and honor for the victims, making Trump look like a horse’s ass by contrast.

Yet, the feds found another way to exploit Minnesota, one that’s gone largely unnoticed.

The Department of Justice has a longstanding policy — the Petite Policy — that imposes a strong presumption that the state of Minnesota should prosecute defendants like Vance Boelter first. The feds step in only if the state prosecution leaves federal interests “demonstrably unvindicated.” That principle is especially strong here, given that the victims include Minnesota state officials.

Instead, it appears the federal government is maneuvering to leapfrog the state and grab the first trial of Boelter. He was scheduled to appear on state charges, but federal marshals seized him and brought him to federal court to face federal charges.

The hip check, if successful, will let the feds hog the spotlight for the trial that fundamentally concerns Minnesota far more than it does the administration. And the Department is likely to seek the death penalty, especially given Trump’s general exhortations to pursue capital cases. The Hennepin County attorney who would bring state charges, by contrast, opposes the death penalty. In this respect too, the feds are steamrolling the sovereign interests of the state and its popular judgment that life without parole is the maximum punishment the government should impose.

Then we have completely improper, unpredicated investigations of Democratic figures at the whimsy of administration hacks such as Ed Martin Jr. and Alina Habba, who declared that she intends to use her perch as Acting U.S. Attorney in New Jersey to try to advance Republican fortunes in that state. She has announced investigations into New Jersey’s Democratic governor and attorney general.

Even assuming they go nowhere, federal investigations bring expense and anxiety to their subjects. Launching them without basis is a signature undertaking of a corrupt authoritarian government.

And of course, there is the ongoing spectacle of militarized arrests of Democratic — and only Democratic — politicians: four and counting (plus a judge without party affiliation), carried out by ICE agents in masks and heavy tactical gear. The agents aim for maximum intimidation — a bully-boy tactic Bill Kristol aptly called “ridiculous.”

There have been only a handful of instances in the last 150-plus years where presidents deployed force over state objections — nearly always when state officials openly defied federal law or court orders.

Trump’s warfare is different. First, he’s the instigator. His aim is to sow chaos and panic in blue states, then use it as a pretext to storm in. The blue states are keeping the peace; he’s breaching it. Second, his war plans target only Democratic strongholds. He seeks to bully and intimidate political opponents while rousing MAGA supporters he has trained to see Democrats as traitors. Third, he seeks to deepen the national divide — the engine of his despotic rule.

Trump may be executing a long and detailed playbook drawn from Project 2025, but he remains a one-trick pony: aggrandizing his power by belittling and intimidating opponents. After four months, he has little to show for his second term: courts have repeatedly blocked his executive orders, and he has no meaningful legislative wins. He is a vicious hater, and his direct assault on blue states and officials is fully in character. But at this point, it’s also his sole governing strategy.

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And I think we’re building something together — a new channel of democracy-forward, engaged patriots looking to stay informed, call out the lies, and fight back as we can – and as the nationwide No Kings protests proved, we can. If you think the material is worthwhile, please consider supporting us. As with all Talking Feds franchises, we’re independent and beholden to nobody other than our own sense of obligation and responsibility to you to bring the strongest analysis and reporting of the ongoing assaults on democratic rule of Trump 2.0.

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Reprinted with permission from Substack.

FEMA

Blue States That Finance Government Need Less Federal Help

"Move it back to the states," Donald Trump says about education, about FEMA and, as will probably happen, about Medicaid. What that would mean to Americans depends on what state they live in. As the federal government moves forward on this, it's a good bet that high-income states can handle the changes better than low-income ones.

Yes, it's true: Taxpayers in high-income states, largely blue ones, have been subsidizing residents of less wealthy red states.

A few years ago, there was an interesting feud between Joe Manchin, senator from West Virginia, and Mikie Sherrill, who represents a well-heeled congressional district in New Jersey. Funds for a federal child care subsidy were to be cut, and Manchin wanted the plan rejiggered to send a bigger chunk to the many low-income families of West Virginia. That would have meant less help for suburban parents in New Jersey.

Sherrill responded: "New Jersey already pays more than $10 billion in taxes than we receive in federal spending, and I will not let another federal program pay less to New Jersey taxpayers than it does to all other Americans."

According to Trump's vision of New Federalism, services provided by the federal government would be better handled by states. But the bills for these services would also largely go to the states. Obviously, states with high incomes and high taxes are better equipped to replace Washington dollars.

Florida may have attracted a lot of rich people seeking low taxes, but if the Federal Emergency Management Agency stopped showering money for hurricane relief every time a big blow tears up the coastline — forcing Floridians to bear more of the cost — well, good luck with that.

FEMA's core principle for disaster relief has been "locally executed, state managed and federally supported." Home insurance costs have already skyrocketed in Florida. Add to that the economic fallout of making the people living there pay more for building back?

Public schools are mostly funded by state and local taxpayers. The Department of Education does give money to schools with high percentages of low-income students, many in rural areas, and pays for special education. Over 23% of Mississippi's school district revenue comes from federal funding. By contrast, the feds account for only about 7% of New York state's.

Meanwhile, look at outcomes. The top state for test scores is Massachusetts, followed by New Jersey, Connecticut, New Hampshire and New York. These states would probably do OK without a Department of Education.

The House budget resolution targets cuts to Medicaid of up to $880 billion or more over 10 years. Medicaid is jointly financed by states and the federal government but administered by the states. If a state wants to make up for lost Medicaid funds, it can raise taxes. Or it could cover fewer people, cut benefits or pay doctors less.

Despite a much-publicized movement of rich people from high-tax places like New York and California to lower-tax Florida and Texas, the big money has largely remained in the urban centers where it was originally made.

"The Ultra-Rich are Flourishing and Sticking Around in California," Bloomberg News reports. Despite mesospheric housing prices, some corporate departures and high taxes, Bloomberg writes, "it remains one of the most popular places for global wealth."

And the state is run by Democrats. Texas may be a red state, but its economic engines are the blue cities of Austin, Dallas and Houston.

Trump's 2017 tax cuts overwhelmingly went to the upper incomes. Extending them now would do more of the same. Where do those upper incomes live? (See above.)

I may be the thousandth pundit to note that Trump-o-nomics hurts working people most, that is, his voters. What can you say except that elections have consequences.

Reprinted with permission from Creators.

Studies Show Red States Suffer Far More Violent Crime Than Blue States

Studies Show Red States Suffer Far More Violent Crime Than Blue States

In the 2022 midterms, countless Republican candidates — hoping to distract voters from the abortion issue — have been focusing heavily on violent crime and blaming Democrats for the crime rates in major cities like Los Angeles, Chicago, New Orleans and Philadelphia. Crime was one of the subjects that Democratic nominee Joy Hofmeister and incumbent Republican Gov. Kevin Stitt debated on Wednesday, October 19, when Hofmeister reminded him how high the murder rates are in some red states.

Hofmeister told Stitt, “The fact is, the rates of violent crime are higher in Oklahoma, under your watch, than in New York and California. That’s a fact.”

Stitt disagreed, not surprisingly. But when podcast host Brian Tyler Cohen tweeted video of that part of the debate, he illustrated her point by also tweeting a study released in March 2022 by the centrist Democratic think tank The Third Way — which found that “8 of the 10 states with the highest murder rates in 2020 voted for the Republican presidential nominee in every election this century.”

The Third Way reported that “some ‘blue cities, like Chicago, Baltimore, and Philadelphia, have seen real and persistent increases in homicides.” But looking at states, The Third Way reported that “murder rates are far higher in Trump-voting red states than Biden-voting blue states.”

According to The Third Way, “We found that murder rates are, on average, 40 percent higher in the 25 states Donald Trump won in the last presidential election compared to those that voted for Joe Biden. In addition, murder rates in many of these red states dwarf those in blue states like New York, California, and Massachusetts. And finally, many of the states with the worst murder rates — like Mississippi, Kentucky, Alabama, South Carolina, and Arkansas — are ones that few would describe as urban. Only 2 of America’s top 100 cities in population are located in these high murder rate states.”

The Standard Journal, on October 19, published an article attacking The Third Way’s study. But journalist Ronald Brownstein, in an article published by The Atlantic the following day, points to a new study by the Center for American Progress (CAP) that, Brownstein writes, “reinforces” what The Third Way had to say back in March.

Brownstein reports, “Countering conventional wisdom, the study found that homicides over recent years increased less rapidly in cities with progressive prosecutors than in those with more traditional district attorneys. It also found no meaningful differences between cities with progressive or traditional DAs in the trends for larceny and robbery…. The data, from CAP, a liberal think tank and advocacy organization, reinforces the message from a study released earlier this year by Third Way, a centrist Democratic group. That report found that per capita murder rates in 2020 were 40 percent higher in states that voted for Donald Trump than in those that voted for President Joe Biden.”

According to Brownstein, “The CAP study represents probably the most comprehensive attempt yet to quantify the progressive prosecutors’ effect on crime rates. Looking at the period from 2015 to 2019, for instance, the study found that murder rates increased in a smaller share of cities with progressive prosecutors, 56 percent, than in those with traditional prosecutors, 68 percent, or prosecutors who fell in the middle, 62 percent. The study used a classification system for local DAs developed by a former federal prosecutor who is a critic of the progressive movement.”

Reprinted with permission from Alternet.

Covid-19 lockdown art

Lockdowns Did More Economic Good Than Harm, Data Show

Reprinted with permission from American Independent

Republicans have claimed repeatedly that so-called "blue state" lockdowns in response to the coronavirus pandemic have destroyed their economies and that red states are enjoying robust recovery. However, a recent study has found that of the five states recovering jobs the most quickly since the beginning of the pandemic, four of them went blue in the 2020 presidential election — and the other is helmed by a Democratic governor.

The study, conducted by Wallet Hub and released on March 25, found that Maine, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire had the most marked decreases in unemployment claims between the beginning of the pandemic to the present, indicating at least some promising recovery for their respective job markets. Of these, three (Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and New Hampshire) went to President Joe Biden in the November presidential election, with a fourth, Maine, giving three of its four electoral college votes to Biden.

The four states implemented strict safety precautions, lockdown measures, and mask mandates at the outset of the pandemic. The sole red state in the top five for job recovery, North Carolina, is helmed by a Democratic governor who also implemented strong safety measures when combating COVID-19.

Maine's Democratic governor, Janet Mills, enforced a mask mandate at the beginning of the pandemic and signed an executive order strengthening the mandate in December. She also implemented a March 15, 2020 Civil State of Emergency, closing bars and restaurants statewide March 18. At the end of May 2020, the state gradually began lifting stay-at-home restrictions.

Minnesota's Democratic Gov. Tim Walz issued a statewide stay-at-home order March 27 and did did not loosen stay-at-home restrictions until May 18. Since July 25, Minnesotans have been required by executive order to wear masks in public spaces outside their homes.

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu, a Republican, issued a stay-at-home order in his "blue" state early in the pandemic, and implemented a strict extension of it in late May. The state remains under a statewide mask mandate.

Pennsylvania's Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf issued a statewide stay-at-home order March 23, as well as another stay-at-home advisory in November ahead of holiday COVID-19 case spikes. Many state restrictions for businesses and gatherings were only relaxed Sunday. A Pennsylvania mask mandate has remained in effect for the duration of the pandemic, only eased recently for vaccinated individuals.

And although North Carolina is a red state, it's governed by Democrat Roy Cooper, who enacted common-sense lockdowns early in the pandemic. He issued a 30-day stay-at-home order March 27. In the face of soaring COVID-19 cases statewide in early 2021, he also extended a modified stay-at-home order which mandated curfews and shuttered nonessential businesses at 10 p.m. in January, extending it again in March. A mask mandate was implemented early and remains in effect throughout the state in all public indoor settings.

The successes of these states in job recovery undercuts false claims by Republican politicians and right-wing think tanks that a recession exists only in blue states, painting economic recovery during the pandemic as something taking place only in red states.

Sen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) slammed the American Rescue Plan on March 10, tweeting, "This bill represents everything wrong with Washington. In Tennessee, we've worked hard to protect both our people and our economy. We should not be bailing out the blue states that failed to do the same."

It also contrasts frequent Republican talking points that suggest lockdowns in blue states caused long-term damage to their economies.

"The science is also clear: Schools can safely open, cases rarely spread outdoors, and pointless lockdowns like California's [closing outdoor dining and playgrounds] are harmful and counterproductive," tweeted Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) in February.

Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-ND) tweeted on March 16 that it would be illogical to reinstate lockdowns. During the presidential debate in October, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) similarly slammed then-Democratic nomineeJoe Biden for refusing to rule out further lockdowns as a COVID-19 response, claiming they were "hurting our economy and hurting our children."

Experts have said lockdowns actually lead to better outcomes and a swifter economic recovery.

As International Monetary Fund economists Francesco Grigoli and Damiano Sandri wrote in October, "Addressing the health risks appears to be a pre-condition to allow for a strong and sustained economic recovery. Lockdowns impose short-term costs but may lead to a faster economic recovery as they lower infections and thus the extent of voluntary social distancing."

Data has also repeatedly demonstrated that state lockdowns did not cause the economic recession. Rather, it shows that most people were already staying home at around the same rate at the height of the pandemic, hastening the recession — before precautions were even implemented.

Republicans have falsely framed Democrats' COVID relief package passed earlier this year, the American Rescue Plan, as a "blue state bailout," depicting all red-state economies as thriving. But suffering red states saw as much or more of a benefit from the legislation.

According to a third-quarter report from the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, of the six states that saw the sharpest drops in state tax revenue, two-thirds of them — Alaska, North Dakota, Florida, and Texas — are traditionally bright red.

A new report by WalletHub Monday made similar findings: that of the six states hardest-hit economically by the pandemic, two-thirds are Republican strongholds.

Published with permission of The American Independent Foundation.

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