Tag: joe biden
Hillary Is Right On Biden's Fatal Error, But Skips Troubling Questions About Harris

Hillary Is Right On Biden's Fatal Error, But Skips Troubling Questions About Harris

In a new interview this week, Hillary Clinton identified the key decision that resulted in President Donald Trump's election in 2024. It all boiled down, in her view, to a "terrible miscalculation" -- former President Joseph R. Biden Jr.'s decision to run for re-election. Mr. Biden made a "terrible mistake for himself, his legacy and for the country" in deciding to seek re-election at the age of 81. Had he decided to "pass the torch" and the Democratic Party had held a competitive nomination process, "whoever emerged from that contest — whether it was the vice president, or a governor, or a senator or anybody else — would have beaten Donald Trump."

Or, I would add, they would have had a better chance than Biden did.

Joe and Jill Biden clearly live in a state of denial with respect to Joe's unpopularity. In some respects, it's understandable: He wasn't a bad president and he left the country in better shape than it is now. So why shouldn't Jill think that even though she was afraid her husband was having a stroke during the debate with Trump, he should stay in the race and if he had, they both seem to believe, he would have beaten Trump. It's delusional thinking that must have been reinforced by the deep-seated loyalty of those who had been around him for so long. Sadly, the cost of that delusional thinking is being borne around the world.

Democratic Party is still struggling to figure out what went wrong. The unofficial official autopsy report, which the Party commissioned and then disowned, studiously avoided any criticism of Biden's decision to seek re-election, which cast doubt on the rest of the report.

Of course, the question remains: Was Kamala Harris the right candidate? That's the one that even Hillary avoided, pointing out that Kamala would have been a stronger candidate if she'd emerged from a competitive process. But would she have? Emerged from a competitive process, that is. Kamala Harris was the Vice President for an unpopular President. She was caught between defending the indefensible and attacking her own Administration. She never figured out how to walk that line in the general election and there's no reason to think it would have been easier in the primaries.

The Democratic Party is still struggling to figure out what went wrong. The unofficial official autopsy report, which the party commissioned and then disowned, studiously avoided any criticism of Biden's decision to seek re-election, which cast doubt on the rest of the report.

Of course, the question remains: Was Kamala Harris the right candidate? That's the one that even Hillary avoided, pointing out that Kamala would have been a stronger candidate if she'd emerged from a competitive process. But would she have? Emerged from a competitive process, that is. Kamala Harris was the Vice President for an unpopular President. She was caught between defending the indefensible and attacking her own Administration. She never figured out how to walk that line in the general election and there's no reason to think it would have been easier in the primaries.

The simple fact that Democrats need to accept is that Americans preferred the convicted felon to the vice president. They got to see them both, up close. Harris ran a better campaign than she gets credit for. She did put her best foot forward. She was well-financed. Experienced strategists surrounded her. She did not use a private email server, as Hillary did. She did not have investigators nipping at her heels, the way Hillary did. It was, considering everything, a smooth run. She just didn't win.

I have yet to hear any explanation for why she's a stronger candidate today than she was in 2024, and she would need to be a stronger candidate to defeat a Marco Rubio, for instance. Kamala is leading in most, although not all, of the early polls, but that is a matter of name recognition; perhaps more significant is the fact that a majority of Democrats, at this stage, favor candidates other than Harris. And Harris has done almost nothing since the election to distinguish herself as the party's leader.

Soon enough, we will be hearing more, not only from Gavin Newsom, who is already out there (and being investigated for it), but from J.B. Pritzker and Josh Shapiro and Pete Buttigieg, not to mention Jon Ossoff, Ro Khanna and AOC. The nomination process is flawed in many ways, but at least it's a test, one that Kamala will be forced to pass this time.


Susan Estrich is a celebrated feminist legal scholar, the first female president of the
Harvard Law Review, and the first woman to run a U.S. presidential campaign. She has written eight books.


Trump bald spot

New Trump Health Data Makes Top Doctor Ask 'What's Going On With His Prostate?'

The Washington Post reported Thursday that Trump has long taken a drug for hair loss called finasteride. It's no longer listed on his medical records. Another major finding is that his prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test exploded tenfold over the last year.

It's prompting Dr. Jonathan Reiner, professor of medicine and surgery and CNN medical analyst, to raise questions.

The hair loss drug Trump took, commonly known as Propecia, is used by millions to protect against hair loss. Trump's hair has long been a major part of his identity. His combover covers a growing balding spot on the back of his head.

However, the drug is "also is used as a treatment to prevent prostate cancer. People who take finasteride report lower levels of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) in their bloodstream, a marker of potential prostate cancer," the Post said.

Since returning to office, however, the medication has disappeared from his charts. He took it in his first administration. Now his PSA has significantly increased. It doesn't mean he has prostate cancer, but it's sending up red flags to other physicians who believe Americans deserve to know the details.

“The current report reflects all medications deemed clinically relevant to disclose at this time,” the White House told the Post in a statement. “No additional undisclosed conditions or procedures materially affecting his health status were omitted from this report.”

They claimed that Trump’s latest medical report contained information relevant to his ability to serve in office.

Trump allies have mocked those questioning Trump's health and advanced age. Dr. Robert Klitzman, a psychiatrist who leads Columbia University’s master’s program in bioethics, told the Post that the White House isn't known for its honesty about such matters.

For example, Trump and the White House also concealed the seriousness of Trump's coronavirus infection in 2020 when it became so bad that he needed supplemental oxygen and had to be rushed to Walter Reed. There were a lot of "mixed messages" in the reporting on that issue at the time, The Guardian pointed out.

“It raises significant questions of what else is possibly not being revealed,” Klitzman said.

Hair loss, while devastating for some, isn't debilitating. But Klitzman explained that one of the side effects of the drug finasteride is an increased risk of depression. The president's emotional state could impact his performance. Trump is already known for his volatility. Now it appears he might also also face severe insomnia, as Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed in a hearing Wednesday. Insomnia can also have a significant impact on a person's emotional state.

The doctor called it “crucial” for the White House to be transparent about all of Trump's medications and overall health.

Another concern is a major change in Trump's prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test.

In 2025, it was revealed that former President Joe Biden has stage 4 metastatic prostate cancer that has already spread to his bones. Prostate cancer isn't curable, but it can be slowed so significantly that the person with it can die from other factors. Biden's wasn't caught early enough to begin slowing the progression.

The diagnosis became a huge story, as many implied that the White House was "hiding" his diagnosis and that he was far more infirm than leading on. The American Urological Association advises against routine prostate cancer screening (PSA tests) for men over 70.

Dr. Reiner wants to know if Trump stopped taking the finasteride drug because his PSA went up from 0.1 last year to 1.0 now.

"Did he stop taking the drug, or is he still taking it and now there’s something going on with his prostate? That’s why it’s important," he said.

The Post noted past presidents who have also concealed details about their health, like when Woodrow Wilson had a stroke or John F. Kennedy was using powerful painkillers.

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

Following Biden Boom, New Factory Construction Keeps Falling Under Trump

Following Biden Boom, New Factory Construction Keeps Falling Under Trump


Yesterday, the Commerce Department released data on construction in April. It showed that factory construction is continuing to fall. In nominal terms, it dropped another 1.2 percent in April from its March level. Adjusting for inflation, the decline would be roughly 1.3 percent.

Factory construction has been on a downward path since the third quarter of 2024. It is now down by close to 27 percent from its recent peak.

Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Chart by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED)

It is striking that we have seen this plunge even as Donald Trump is boasting about a manufacturing boom. This turns reality on its head.

As I’ve pointed out in past notes, there was an unprecedented boom in factory construction under Biden. The peak in 2024 was well over twice the pre-pandemic level. This boom was driven by three major bills that Biden was able to get through Congress: his bipartisan infrastructure bill, the CHIPS Act, which provided incentives to build advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the United States, and the Inflation Reduction Act, which provided support for clean energy and EVs.

This boom went largely unnoticed by the media. As a result, most people never realized it took place.

In any case, with Trump quite explicitly trying to reverse most of Biden’s policies, the boom is going in reverse, with factory construction dropping rapidly. Trump may not yet be aware of this reality, but the rest of us are.

Dean Baker is a senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the author of the 2016 book Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

'No One Is Watching': How Trump Reversed Biden’s Crackdown on Gun Trafficking

'No One Is Watching': How Trump Reversed Biden’s Crackdown on Gun Trafficking

This story was originally published by ProPublica

Marianna Mitchem grew up in the Denver suburbs, where she played high school soccer. One day in April 1999, her team faced off against a nearby rival, Columbine High. The next day, two teenagers went on a shooting rampage at Columbine, killing more than a dozen people.

The massacre left an imprint on Mitchem. After graduating from Providence College, she joined the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives. “Fearing for my friends and watching what was happening — you don’t forget things like that,” she told me. “I wanted to make a difference.”

She started in the ATF’s Denver office as an industry operations investigator, the bureau’s term for inspectors who ensure that firearms dealers are conducting the required background checks on buyers and maintaining sales records. When the bureau found discrepancies, it tended to settle for reprimands and improvement plans, rarely going so far as to revoke a dealer’s license.

In 2021, things started to change. The country was experiencing a surge of deadly violence, with homicides up more than a third since 2019, and the administration of President Joe Biden was desperate to reverse the trend. For years, data had shown that a large share of guns used in shootings came from a small fraction of dealers, and that guns that were trafficked — sold by stores to straw purchasers (people other than the intended users) or resold on the street — were far more likely to be used in shootings.

Acting on this data, the administration in June 2021 announced what became known as “zero tolerance”: Dealers found to be willfully violating the law would lose their licenses, period. Revocations spiked, from fewer than 50 in 2019, 2020 and 2021 to a record 181 in 2023.

Also in 2021, Biden’s attorney general, Merrick Garland, started urging federal prosecutors to prioritize gun violence. A year later, Congress passed a law that added a firearms trafficking conspiracy charge to the federal criminal code, a crucial new tool for prosecutors.

After 2021, the homicide rate started falling, which criminologists attributed to several factors, including repair of the social fabric since the coronavirus pandemic and a closing of the breach in police-community relations that followed the 2020 murder of George Floyd. One other factor got less attention: the clampdown on the illegal flow of firearms.

The Biden administration struggled to broadcast its gains on public safety, and Donald Trump won election in 2024 partly by vowing to restore order. By the time Trump reentered the White House, Mitchem had risen to associate assistant director for industry operations, overseeing inspectors across the country. “We were making incredible progress on trafficking, on violent crime,” she said late last year.

But the Trump administration, driven both by gun-lobby advocacy and its own political priorities, quickly set about undoing much of its predecessor’s moves to combat gun violence. It repealed the zero-tolerance policy, going so far as to invite revoked dealers to reapply for new licenses. It shifted hundreds of ATF agents to immigration work. And it scaled back on prosecutions for gun trafficking. The White House declined to comment, referring questions to the ATF and the Department of Justice.

The homicide rate fell further last year, but criminologists warn against complacency, because the illicit gun trade is a classic pipeline problem: The harm can take a while to make itself felt. Research has found that the typical “time to crime” for trafficked firearms ranges up to about three years, which means that any positive lag of the anti-trafficking efforts of the Biden years would still be in effect now, with any negative effects of the Trump pullback lying in the years to come.

Among those now sounding the alarm is Mitchem. Dismayed at the policy reversal, she left the ATF last spring, after 21 years, and joined Everytown, the gun-safety group founded by Michael Bloomberg.

“Just because no one is watching the trafficking pipelines right now doesn’t mean guns aren’t flowing through it. It just means they’re not being intercepted,” she told me.

“And as you walk away from that, and you don’t have your focus on that anymore,” she added, “that pipeline is going to be flowing, and we are going to start to see the violent crime impact from that over time.”

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