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Morning Consult Polls Show Trump Approval Plummeting In Key States

This is not good news for Trump’s reelection hopes.

According to Morning Consult’s daily tracking of Trump’s approval in all 50 states, Trump’s popularity in crucial swing states has plummeted since he took office in 2017.

For example, according to the Morning Consult polls, Trump’s approval is underwater by double digits in three states he won in 2016 and that he’ll need to win again if he has any hope of a second term. They are:

  • Wisconsin, where just 42 percent of voters approve of his job in office, as opposed to 55 percent who disapprove. That’s a 19-point drop since Trump took office.
  • In Michigan, 42 percent approve of Trump while 54 percent disapprove — a 20-point decline in popularity since Trump took office.
  • And in Iowa, Trump has seen a 21-point drop in his popularity since taking office, with 42 percent of voters approving of his job performance and another 54 percent disapproving.

Trump is also underwater in approval ratings in Pennsylvania and Arizona, two other states he very narrowly won in 2016. If Trump also lost those states in 2020, there’s no path to him winning the White House.

Some of Trump’s problems may stem from his trade war with China and Mexico — which especially hurt Midwest and Rust Belt swing states, given that the tariffs are hurting car manufacturers and farmers that are concentrated in these swing areas.

Of course, it’s very early in the election cycle. There’s still more than a year until voters head to the polls, and Democrats have yet to pick a nominee.

But Trump’s lagging approval rating in these key states is not a great sign for his reelection chances in 2020.

Published with permission of The American Independent. 

Poll: Trump Approval Plummets In Five Key Swing States

Trump’s approval rating has fallen double digits in five key states that he won since the election. The data shows that in addition to his overall poor approval Trump faces electoral college headwinds before the 2020 election.

In Morning Consult’s most recent survey, Trump is down in the following swing states: Florida (-24 points), Ohio (-20), Michigan (-19), Wisconsin (-18), and Pennsylvania (-17).

In 2016, Trump won all of those states, which together represent 93 electoral votes. Trump’s electoral vote margin of victory was 74 points that year.

By recent comparison, President Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 192 electoral votes in 2008 and Obama beat Mitt Romney by 126 electoral votes in 2012.

Trump also lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by nearly 3 million votes.

Since being sworn in, Trump has never had the support of 50 percent or more of the American people when national polls are averaged.

Even in states where he is likely to win re-election, like Texas, Alabama, Mississippi, and Wyoming, Trump has seen steep double-digit declines in support.

The poor showing could very well be the result of a presidency swimming in corruption, incompetence and bigotry. Trump’s sole major legislative accomplishment was the tax scam, which rewarded the uber-wealthy and giant corporations and has been resoundingly panned by average Americans.

With the aid of congressional leaders like Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Trump has been able to pack federal courts and the Supreme Court with right-wing mediocrities of questionable moral character.

But Americans do not approve. In the first national election under Trump’s leadership, his party lost control of the House of Representatives by a national popular vote margin of over 9.7 million votes.

When Trump and his ideas are on the ballot, most voters vote against them. And now, in the states he will need the most to win a second term, he is under water.

Published with permission of The American Independent.