Tag: barack obama
Newsom Recall

In This Redistricting Showdown, I'm With Newsom

I don't always say that. Sometimes the California governor and would-be 2028 contender drives me slightly crazy with his transparent stunts to get attention.

But this is not a stunt. The redistricting bill that the California legislature passed and Newsom signed aims to counter what Texas is doing with its mid-census redistricting plans. They're drawing districts to unfairly pad the Texas delegation with more Republicans. Democrats (with voter approval) are ready to do the same and add more Democrats.

This is an act of war. For once, the Democrats aren't bringing a butter knife to a knife fight. Ours is sharpened, too.

Is this how districting should be done? Of course not.

The most famous man from my hometown of Marblehead, Massachusetts, is the late Massachusetts Gov. and U.S. Vice President Elbridge Gerry, who signed into law a redistricting plan in 1812 supported by his Republican Party that had one Massachusetts district that looked, according to the local Federalist newspaper, like nothing so much as a salamander. Thus, for all of our history, the practice of drawing odd-shaped districts to suit political purposes has been known as "gerrymandering." It's ironic because, according to his son-in-law, Gerry himself was unhappy about the extent to which the district lines were drawn solely for partisan purposes.

In an ideal world of good government types, redistricting would be done by some kind of bipartisan or non-partisan commission that would take into account natural factors like where neighborhood and political lines are in creating equally sized districts that are based around defined communities — not by political whiz kids running mathematical models about how to maximize the value of each individual voter on their side and waste as many votes (a district that is 90-plus percent of one party is wasting almost half of its votes), even if it means drawing district lines that cut a neighborhood in half.

The problem isn't an easy one. How do you take the politics out of what is inherently a political job? And how much politics is too much?

In my youth, I was an advocate of reform, of commissions, of efforts to "professionalize" the fine art of deciding who would get a safe district and who would face competition, and how to balance the reality of representation with the abstract theory. Yes, it's one person-one vote, but votes in overly safe districts — districts created to be "too" safe — aren't worth anything, and the people drawing those districts know that and are doing it on purpose. That's why majority-minority districts have always prompted some unease on the Democratic side among those who worried that they had taken the place of more conservative districts that white Democrats might win, although no study I know of has ever borne this out.

So I fought for reform and argued that courts should police the excess of partisanship, even though no one has really come up with satisfactory lines. But I'm not fighting for reform now. Now is no time for Democrats to be focused on how redistricting should work in a democracy we don't have.

On a recent night in Martha's Vineyard, former President Barack Obama said as much at a fundraiser. Although traditionally an opponent of partisan redistricting, he isn't anymore. If Democrats "don't respond effectively, then this White House and Republican-controlled state governments all across the country, they will not stop, because they do not appear to believe in this idea of an inclusive, expansive democracy. ... I wanted just a fair fight between Republicans and Democrats based on who's got better ideas, and take it to the voters and see what happens ... but we cannot unilaterally allow one of the two major parties to rig the game. And California is one of the states that has the capacity to offset a large state like Texas."

The Republicans are trying to rig the game. The Democrats need to stop them. It is as simple as that.

Susan Estrich is a celebrated feminist legal scholar, the first female president of the Harvard Law Review, and the first woman to run a U.S. presidential campaign. She has written eight books.

Reprinted with permission from Creators.

Trump, Bondi And Gabbard Mount A Vulgar And Vicious Purge

Trump, Bondi And Gabbard Mount A Vulgar And Vicious Purge

It’s the moment we’ve feared, the moment the Supreme Court invoked in giving Trump immunity, and the moment that marks an authoritarian government at its most vulgar and vicious.

On Monday, Attorney General Pam Bondi signed an order directing an as-yet-unidentified federal prosecutor to convene a grand jury to investigate whether prominent officials in Barack Obama's administration, including Obama himself, purposely manufactured an intelligence assessment in January 2017.

The supposed purpose of this scheme: to promote a “false narrative” that Russia and its president Vladimir Putin engaged in an operation to interfere in the 2016 U.S. election with the intent of helping Trump win.

Problem #1: there's nothing whatsoever false about this narrative.

The Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA), prepared by career professionals and our intelligence agencies, indeed concluded:

"Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered an influence campaign in 2016 to undermine public faith in the U.S. democratic process, denigrate Secretary Clinton, and harm her electability and potential presidency."

That conclusion has been repeatedly reaffirmed in multiple investigations—including those led by Mueller, the Senate Intelligence Committee, and Special Prosecutor John Durham.

The bipartisan Senate Intelligence Committee unanimously found that the ICA was “coherent and well constructed” and reconfirmed that Russia “engaged in an aggressive, multi-faceted effort to influence” the 2016 election in Trump’s favor.

Durham’s work is particularly instructive here. He was a Trump U.S. Attorney whom Attorney General William Barr tasked with leading an investigation into the origins of the FBI's Crossfire Hurricane probe into alleged Trump–Russia campaign ties. He investigated exhaustively—over almost four years—whether anyone broke the law in connection with the 2016 intelligence assessments.

While Durham’s final report found certain procedural faults with intelligence actors and the Mueller operation, it confirmed that Russian spies were behind the hacking of Democratic campaign files and the release of campaign emails. It specifically failed to find a plot approved by Clinton to tie Trump to Putin.

So much for the notion—jealously protected and prized by certain Trump loyalists including Hubbard—that the ICA was a fraud cooked up by the Obama administration to hurt Trump’s electoral prospects and thereafter delegitimize his victory.

Or so you might think.

But now enter Tulsi Gabbard, Trump’s controversial pick for Director of National Intelligence. Trump strong-armed her confirmation notwithstanding her lack of any experience in the intelligence community—a depressing point she has in common with so many Trump nominees—and her apparent pro-Syria and pro-Russia sympathies. Over 100 former intelligence professionals wrote to Congress to warn that her candidacy posed a national security risk.

Gabbard has gone on the warpath in recent weeks with a series of document dumps seeking to revisit the unanimous verdict about 2016. Last month, she appeared at the White House press podium to accuse Obama, along with former CIA Director John Brennan, former Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, and former FBI Director James Comey, of engineering a “years-long coup” against Trump.

She then chimed in that the information she was releasing showed a “treasonous conspiracy” by top Obama administration officials.

A few days later, Trump touted Gabbard’s comments and took it over the top, laying it on Obama himself: “It’s there. He’s guilty. This was treason.”

Unsurprisingly, both Trump and Gabbard’s treason charges were constitutionally illiterate. Treason—the most serious crime a citizen can undertake against the country, and one punishable by death—is expressly defined in the Constitution:

“Treason against the United States shall consist only in levying War against them, or in adhering to their Enemies, giving them Aid and Comfort.”

It’s only Trump’s twisted “l’état, c’est moi” mindset that can construe a supposed political attack on him as an act of treason against the state.

At her White House appearance, Gabbard crowed: “There is irrefutable evidence that details how President Obama and his national security team directed the creation of an intelligence community assessment that they knew was false.”

The “irrefutable evidence” turns out to be stray bits of unverified intelligence that the agencies could not substantiate and that did not alter or weaken their bottom-line assessment of Russia’s involvement.

Gabbard capped her deranged performance with a criminal referral to DOJ, seeking investigation and prosecution of the members of the “treasonous conspiracy,” including Clapper, Brennan, Comey, and Obama.

And sure enough, Bondi—who, like Gabbard, is duty-bound to be apolitical—greenlighted the scurrilous investigation.

That piled impropriety on top of impropriety. The DOJ manual—which one suspects has been run through the shredder—requires an “adequate factual predicate” before convening a grand jury. It’s unethical to use it for a fishing expedition. That rule, in fact, is what prompted the resignation of the criminal chief of the D.C. U.S. Attorney’s Office, whom Ed Marin Jr., Trump’s first choice to lead the office, ordered to undertake a grand jury investigation without predication.

And of course, since there’s no way of showing the ICA is false (because it isn’t), there’s even less prospect of proving beyond a reasonable doubt that Obama and his supposed co-conspirators not only got the intelligence wrong but intentionally set out to falsify it.

Gabbard’s argument for criminal intent seems to begin and end with her false allegation that the ICA was inaccurate—so, of course, it must have been intentionally manufactured, and of course that must mean a political conspiracy reaching all the way to the top, displacing the entire network of intelligence professionals.

It’s the hallmark of the Trump faithful: viewing every act of government through a political lens, and assuming everyone else is doing the same.

That doesn’t mean the damage here is limited to rhetoric. First, a prosecutor in the right district could easily ram a bogus case through a grand jury, and so saddle Obama and others with the cost, burden, and stigma of criminal defense. Or they could ultimately decline to bring charges—because no legitimate prosecutor would touch them—and then hold up that decision as some twisted badge of fairness. See, they’ll say, we’re the ones who exercise restraint, unlike the partisan hacks who dared to prosecute Trump for actual, documented crimes.

Republicans will claim this is all just payback for what Democrats did to Trump. In a country that still gave a damn about facts or the rule of law, that argument would be laughed out of the room. The cases against Trump weren’t political—they were textbook examples of what the justice system is supposed to do when someone in power breaks the law.

Trump hoarded classified documents and bragged about them on tape. He tried to strong-arm election officials and incited a mob to stop the peaceful transfer of power. The prosecutions were slow, careful, and supported by mountains of evidence.

What’s happening now is the opposite: the weaponization of the justice system to settle political scores, built not on facts but on fever-dream conspiracies that have already been repeatedly debunked.

It’s hard to overstate how dangerous this moment is, and how strongly it calls on all of us to reject it categorically. Using the machinery of criminal justice to pursue manufactured charges against political predecessors is the stuff of strongmen and collapsing democracies.

From Putin’s endless prosecutions of opposition figures like Navalny, to Erdoğan’s jailing of rivals and judges after labeling them coup plotters, to the cycles of vengeance in post-coup Egypt, this is the textbook authoritarian move. It corrodes trust in democratic transitions, chills dissent, and redefines political opposition as criminal subversion.

As Steven Levitsky and Daniel Ziblatt argue in How Democracies Die, once democratic norms around restraint and mutual legitimacy are breached, they rarely recover easily. Trump is mowing down the guardrails of democracy—and the institutions built to stop him are watching with the sound off.

Ironically, this very kind of weaponization of law enforcement to pursue political attacks was one of the dangers the Supreme Court cited in granting Trump immunity for official acts. Chief Justice Roberts stressed that the rule was essential:

“Without immunity, such types of prosecutions of ex-Presidents could quickly become routine… an executive branch that cannibalizes itself, with each successive President free to prosecute his predecessors, yet unable to boldly and fearlessly carry out his duties for fear that he may be next.”

So who is cannibalizing their predecessors now?

Reprinted with permission from Substack.

Need To Deflect Public Rage? Take Aim At Obama (And Murdoch!)

Need To Deflect Public Rage? Take Aim At Obama (And Murdoch!)

President Donald Trump is seeking to reunify allies enraged by his administration’s repudiation of MAGA claims about late convicted sex offender and disgraced financier Jeffrey Epstein by offering up spurious attacks on common and familiar enemies: the media — in this case Rupert Murdoch’s Wall Street Journal — and former President Barack Obama.

Trump brought together an ideologically diverse coalition and a fractured right-wing media ecosystem during his 2024 campaign based largely on their shared hatred for Democrats, liberal institutions like the press, and the left. His administration’s actions have at times sparked criticism from different factions over the handling of issues like the Russia-Ukraine war, tariffs, U.S. strikes on Iran, immigration enforcement, and, most of all, disclosures in the Epstein case.

The president spent last week failing to tamp down discussion of the Epstein story that seemed to be fracturing the MAGA movement. He tried claiming that his political enemies had “written” the “Epstein Files,” argued that the Epstein case is “pretty boring stuff,” and even lashed out at supporters who talk about it as “weaklings” and “stupid people.” But while the propagandists at Fox News were willing to play ball, Trump’s statements backfired elsewhere, leaving many right-wing media figures and the base alike in a state of revolt.

On Thursday, however, The Wall Street Journal reported that a “bawdy” letter bearing Trump’s signature had been included in an album created for Epstein’s 50th birthday (before allegations of his sexual abuse of girls became publicly known). The document, according to the Journal, had been reviewed by Justice Department officials who handled Epstein’s case.

The Journal report could have focused the right’s attention on Trump’s voluminous ties to Epstein. But Trump redirected them at a familiar target: journalists. responded that night by calling the letter “FAKE,” denouncing the paper, and claiming that he would sue. The following day, he followed through with a defamation lawsuit seeking $10 billion in damages from the two authors of the article; the Journal’s publisher, Dow Jones & Co.; parent company News Corp and that company’s CEO; and Murdoch himself.

Trump’s lawsuit is both unprecedented and consistent with Trump’s authoritarian treatment of a free press whose criticism he seeks to curtail through corrupt means. The message it sends is straightforward: If you publish reporting that displeases the president — even if, like Murdoch, your support was crucial to his political ascension — he may try to ruin you, so don’t try it.

While the Journal’s corporate cousins at Fox News mostly avoided the story on Friday, the network’s competitors throughout the fractured marketplace of right-wing media responded by sharpening their knives and attacking the paper. Laura Loomer deemed the Journal story “totally fake,” Charlie Kirk accused the Journal of a “terrible drive-by,” and Benny Johnson claimed that the real “scandal is in who wrote the story,” referencing a baroque conspiracy theory that was circulating on the right at the time.

The same day Trump’s lawyers filed their suit, former Fox contributor and current Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard offered even more grist for the right-wing media mill. In a story served up to Fox as an exclusive, Gabbard claimed to have uncovered documents proving “a treasonous conspiracy in 2016 committed by officials at the highest level of our government” which aimed “to subvert the will of the American people and enact what was essentially a years-long coup.” She suggested that figures including Obama “must be investigated and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law,” and said she was referring the documents to the Justice Department. Leaving nothing to subtext, Trump subsequently posted to Truth Social an AI video featuring Obama beng arrested and imprisoned.

Those documents, however, demonstrate nothing other than Gabbard’s own ignorance and/or malice. They show that Obama received an intelligence report that Russia had not hacked election systems to change vote totals in the 2016 election — which is consistent with what the Obama administration said publicly at the time — then asked for and subsequently received another intelligence report detailing other actions taken by the Russian government in an effort to influence the election. That effort, according to the intelligence community, the Justice Department, and a Senate committee helmed at the time by current Secretary of State Marco Rubio, included hacking and releasing Democratic emails.

Fox News contributor Andrew McCarthy, in a withering piece at National Review, described Gabbard’s argument as a “frivolous” attempt to further Trump’s “foolish stance” that Russia had not tried to influence the 2016 election via “overwrought and misleading” language and “thundering claptrap.”

But her attacks served to reignite years of conspiracy-mongering about the Russia “witch hunt,” and thus were credibly regurgitated elsewhere on the right, including by Fox’s stars, with some echoing Gabbard’s demagogic language about purported “treason.” Trump, meanwhile, repeatedly posted Fox clips and articles from right-wing media hyping the purported scandal.

Much of MAGA media seems eager to target the Journal and Obama on Trump’s behalf. But it remains to be seen whether those influencers — or their audience — will be willing to allow the Epstein story to fade away altogether.

That said, Trump’s best hope of keeping his supporters happy may very well be increasing the scale and tempo of his authoritarian attacks — and that means there will be more to come in the months ahead.

Reprinted with permission from Media Matters.

Rupert Murdoch

Declining Polls On Fox News Enrage President

President Donald Trump has never liked when pollsters say he’s doing worse than he thinks he is. But now he’s escalating his war on polls and the press, suggesting that even right-wing media outlets should scrap their polling arms if the results don’t flatter him.

According to a Fox News poll released Wednesday, Trump’s approval rating is officially lower than it was during his first term, just as he approaches the 100-day mark of his second term.

The survey found his rating underwater at 44% approval and 55% disapproval—down five points from the previous month. Even worse, Trump’s 100-day rating lags behind Joe Biden’s (54%), Barack Obama’s (62%), and George W. Bush’s (63%) at the same point in their presidencies.

Even Republicans aren’t exactly brimming with optimism. Just 38% of voters overall—and 75% of Republicans—say they’re “encouraged” about the next four years. That’s a drop from his first term in 2017, which showed 45% and 84%, respectively.

The same poll gave Trump poor marks across the board—on the economy, foreign policy, guns, immigration, you name it. His economic approval in particular sank to a record low at 38%, with 55% of respondents saying conditions are getting worse for their families.

So how did Trump respond to this news? By calling for Fox News to kill its polling unit.

“Rupert Murdoch has told me for years that he is going to get rid of his FoxNews, Trump Hating, Fake Pollster, but he has never done so. This ‘pollster’ has gotten me, and MAGA, wrong for years. Also, and while he’s at it, he should start making changes at the China Loving Wall Street Journal. It sucks!!!” Trump wrote on Truth Social Thursday.

Of course, this isn’t some isolated poll. An April Ipsos survey for Reuters put Trump’s approval at just 42%, with only 37% backing his handling of the economy. A new Pew Research Center poll had him even lower, at 40%, with negative ratings across every major policy area. And a YouGov poll for The Economist wasn’t any better, with Trump clocking in at 41% approval, with every issue underwater there, too.

In other words: reality bites. But rather than face it, Trump’s trying to pressure outlets like Fox News and The Wall Street Journal into becoming full-time propaganda machines.

His push to kill off Fox’s polling arm is especially alarming given that it routinely produces some of the highest-quality polling in the business. If Fox caves, it would be a scandal—but not entirely shocking. Media executives have buckled to Trump before, afraid of the blowback if they don’t stay in his good graces.

Trump’s already suing CBS News’ “60 Minutes” for $10 billion, and he’s gone after ABC News, which recently settled a defamation suit and agreed to pay $15 million to Trump’s future presidential library. The Washington Post has also drifted rightward under Trump, winning plaudits from the administration for its “balance.”

And while polling isn’t perfect, Trump has a habit of going after those who publish anything he doesn’t like.

In December, he sued The Des Moines Register and veteran pollster Ann Selzer for a pre-election poll showing Vice President Kamala Harris leading him in Iowa. Trump ended up winning the state by more than 13 points, and now he’s trying to make it a courtroom issue.

Trump’s latest tantrum makes his vision clear: Any outlet that doesn’t treat him like a demigod should be silenced, sued, or shut down. What he’s building isn’t just a cult of personality; it’s a MAGA-approved echo chamber where the “truth” is whatever he says it is.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos.

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