Tag: supreme court vacancy
Justice Alito Hands Republicans An Unexpected Supreme Court Quandary

Justice Alito Hands Republicans An Unexpected Supreme Court Quandary

Justice Samuel Alito’s decision to remain on the Supreme Court could leave President Donald Trump with a problem conservatives had hoped to avoid if Republicans lose control of the Senate in November.

Salon’s Heather Digby Parton argued in her latest column that Alito's decision to remain on the bench while Trump still has a Republican Senate could end up giving Democrats a valuable opportunity. Should the Democrats take control of the chamber and Alito leave the court during the last two years of Trump's term, they would then have the power to decide whether his replacement is confirmed.

It has become more difficult for the Republicans to ignore that possibility as a number of the Senate races grow more competitive in the run-up to the midterm elections on November 3.

In a recent interview with CBS News, Alito, who is 76, said that he had been thinking about retiring at an earlier date this year. While the Republicans were in control of both the White House and the Senate, conservative groups had openly urged both Alito and Justice Clarence Thomas, who is 78, to step down so that Trump could replace them with a number of much younger conservative judges.

Alito chose otherwise.“I think I can still make a contribution,” he told CBS chief legal correspondent Jan Crawford, continuing: “And it’s hard to give up the opportunity to do something that I think will be good for the Constitution and good for the country as long as I’m able to do it.”

Alito stated that political considerations had not influenced his decision, on the grounds that it was impossible to predict what the political landscape would be like in the future or who a president might choose to replace him.

However, Parton pointed out that the timing might turn out to be important.The Republicans now have the Senate with a vote total of 53 to 47, which means Trump can send his Supreme Court nominees to a majority that supports him. In order to take control of the Senate, the Democrats will need a net gain of four seats, and in several states where the Republican Party was previously considered to have a safe majority, the races have become more competitive.

A Democratic Senate that takes office in January would make it very difficult for Trump to replace Alito with another conservative justice who can be counted on. The Senate leaders have broad powers regarding whether a Supreme Court nomination has a hearing or a vote.

During his first term, Trump nominated three justices, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett, thus helping to establish the Court's present 6-3 conservative majority.Alito has been one of the most significant members of the Court. He authored the 2022 decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization that reversed Roe v. Wade and has on numerous occasions supported expanding presidential authority.

According to CBS, Alito is very good at putting together five-member majorities in cases that are closely divided. However, Alito showed no signs that succession planning was having an effect on him.

“We have tried to restore the original structure of the government as it was set out in the Constitution,” he told CBS. “But that’s an ongoing project.”

It is that unfinished project which could keep Alito on the court long enough to potentially upset Trump's plans.

Republicans Signaling Fear That Midterm Will End Their House And Senate Majorities

Republicans Signaling Fear That Midterm Will End Their House And Senate Majorities

Republicans have expressed fears both publicly and privately that their congressional majorities are in serious danger in November, as voters angry with President Donald Trump’s war in Iran and the fact that it’s making life even more unaffordable in the United States threaten to punish the GOP at the ballot box.

But now they have moved on from merely talking about those fears to taking concrete steps that make it clear they know their prospects are dire and that they are on track to lose control of not just the House but the Senate, too.

On Tuesday, Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he is taking steps to ensure that Republicans will be ready to replace Supreme Court justice Samuel Alito should he choose to retire this summer, giving a little hint-hint to the 76-year-old with a lifetime appointment who was recently hospitalized with an unspecified illness.

“That’s a contingency I think around here you always have to be prepared for. And if that were to happen, yes, we would be prepared to confirm,” Thune told a reporter from the Washington Examiner.

Even Trump himself brought up the possibility of Alito, as well as famously corrupt Justice Clarence Thomas, retiring before the midterms, telling Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo on Tuesday that the late Ruth Bader Ginsburg made a mistake by not retiring earlier because he got to fill her seat on the nation’s highest court.

“She decided that she was going to live forever, and about two minutes after the election, she went out, and I got to appoint somebody,” Trump told Bartiromo, in what sounded like yet another nudge at Alito and Thomas.

Indeed, pushing out an aging Supreme Court justice before the midterms is a massive tell that Republicans are worried they will lose the Senate majority, and thus their ability to confirm Trump’s judicial nominees. (It’s also wildly hypocritical, as now-former Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell stole a Supreme Court seat by claiming the vacancy came too close to an election, but I digress.)

Back in January, political analyst Jacob Rubashkin, deputy editor of the nonpartisan political handicapping outlet Inside Elections, said that this very situation would be a tell that Republicans were scared of losing the Senate.

“We’re still a ways away from this so keep it saved in your bookmarks, but one way we will know if Republicans become truly concerned about losing the Senate is if there’s chatter or even pressure on Thomas and/or Alito to retire this summer,” Rubashkin wrote in a post on January 6.

Welp …

Meanwhile on Tuesday, Punchbowl News reported that Florida GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis is getting cold feet about rigging—uh, sorry, redrawing -- his state’s congressional map.

While the Trump lackey was previously bullish that Republicans could extract as many as five more House seats in the state, DeSantis is now worried that the midterm environment—including shifts in Florida—will be so bad for Republicans that creating more nominally Republican seats could actually backfire. Spreading out GOP voters could turn Florida’s map into a dummymander—a political term that means an intended gerrymander actually winds up benefitting the other party.

What’s more, Republicans are sending Vice President JD Vance to campaign in Iowa, yet another sign that this otherwise reliably Republican area is slipping away from the GOP as Trump’s tariffs and war in Iran decimate the agricultural backbone of the state. Iowa was also the first state Trump himself traveled to on his midterm campaign tour.If Republicans are having to campaign in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024, they are in some serious doo doo this fall.

Of course, sending Vance to campaign for vulnerable Republicans is likely not the best idea, as he’s not only unpopular but has also turned out to be bad luck for other candidates he’s stumped for.

Yet desperate times call for desperate measures.

So the midterms are shaping up to be a disaster for the GOP? Good.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Poll: Americans Reject Senate Republican Assault On Judge Jackson

Poll: Americans Reject Senate Republican Assault On Judge Jackson

If you watched any of the Supreme Court hearings for Ketanji Brown Jackson and found yourself repulsed by Republicans, you weren't alone. In a Quinnipiac University poll released late last week, 52 percent of Americans disapproved of the way GOP senators were handling the historic confirmation process for Judge Jackson's nomination, while just 27 percent approved of it (21 percent didn't offer an opinion).

In contrast, a 42 percent plurality of Americans approved of the way Democrats handled the process, while 34 percent disapproved (23 percent offered no opinion).

Americans also support confirming Jackson to the high court 51 percent to 30 percent, according to the poll.

As The Washington Post's Aaron Blake pointed out, Republicans fared worse in their handling of Jackson's confirmation than Democrats did in their handling of the contentious hearings for Brett Kavanaugh—who faced a credible sexual assault allegation amid his confirmation.

Republicans received a 25-point net negative rating from the public (27 percent--52 percent) for the way they comported themselves during Jackson's process, while a CNN/SSRS poll in October 2018 found Democrats received a 20-point net negative rating from the public (36 percent--56 percent) during the Kavanaugh confirmation.

The public also opposed confirming Kavanaugh by 51 percent--41 percent. In fact, the place where Kavanaugh really excelled with the public was in the 33 percent who held a "very negative" view of him. For comparison, eight percent of Americans had a very negative view of Neil Gorsuch and seven percent held a very negative view of John Roberts in CNN polls during confirmation for the two eventual justices.

In any case, the main differences between the Jackson and Kavanaugh confirmations is the fact Jackson is substantially more popular and that during consideration of Kavanaugh, neither party fared particularly well in the public's estimation of their handling of the confirmation process. In fact, Republicans also received a 20-point net negative rating from Americans—35 percent--55 percent—for the way they handled Kavanaugh's confirmation, whereas Democrats won plurality support for their handling of Jackson’s confirmation.

But Republicans clearly aren't concerned one bit that a majority of Americans disapprove of the way they conducted themselves during consideration of a nominee who will likely become the Supreme Court's first Black female justice. In fact, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is currently pressuring his caucus to vote against Judge Jackson’s confirmation.

The only audience Republicans ever really care about—particularly in a pre-midterm environment—is the 27 percent who said they approved of how the GOP has handled the Jackson hearings. It's always about juicing the base for Republicans, who continue to be out of step with the majority of Americans on most issues concerning voters. But it's who shows up at the polls that matters, and Republicans will continue to ignore American majorities as long as they don't face any real electoral consequences for their extreme positions.

Reprinted with permission from Daily Kos

Supreme Court Won’t Comment On Hospitalized Justice Thomas

Supreme Court Won’t Comment On Hospitalized Justice Thomas

U.S. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas entered the hospital last Friday, yet the court’s spokesperson is refusing to state whether or not the 73-year old conservative jurist remains hospitalized. On Sunday the Court first revealed Thomas had entered the hospital two days earlier but said he was expected to be released “in a day or two.”

According to a statement from the court, Justice Thomas was admitted with “flu-like symptoms,” which were described as an “infection.” He allegedly had not contracted COVID-19.

Yet by Wednesday, after being hospitalized for five days, “court spokeswoman Patricia McCabe said she had no update to provide,” the Associated Press reports, noting the high court “won’t say” if he remains in the hospital.

Thomas missed the third day of arguments Wednesday and did not participate virtually.

DeSantis spokesperson Christina Pushaw Wednesday afternoon urged prayers for the far right-wing jurist:

Reprinted with permission from Alternet

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