Tag: mark carney
As Trump's Power Wanes, Canadians Are Not Alone In Calling His Bluff

As Trump's Power Wanes, Canadians Are Not Alone In Calling His Bluff

Oh good, another war. This time a trade war with Canada and for no other reason than ... what? To give Donald Trump a new stage for big-league bullying? To divert attention from the Jeffrey Epstein files? Who knows. Whatever. Trying to humiliate our closest ally does not serve American interests, ya think?

I say "trying" because Trump's powers are much diminished. Canadians are calling Trump's bluff, as are other countries and even some formerly supine Republican lawmakers. And it's getting harder to ignore the loose screws rattling around his head.

We won't go into the particulars of this latest trade dispute. Canada as well as the United States appeared to have thrown in last-minute demands. And Trump's new tariffs on $20 billion worth of Canadian goods affect only about 5% of Canada's exports to the U.S.

The bigger story here is the willingness of Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney to defend his nation's honor even at a cost to his economy.

Moments after the tariffs went into effect, Trump recycled a golden oldie of abuse by posting on Truth Social, "Canada wants the benefits of being a State, without being one!!! They have also charged our great farmers, for many years, massive amounts of Tariffs. No More!!!"

About our great farmers, Trump has just lowered taxes on foreign beef in an obvious attempt to cut prices for steaks and hamburgers before the midterm elections. The higher prices were a godsend to American cattle ranchers already coping with wildfires, droughts and restrictions on shipments of young Mexican cattle to be fattened in U.S. feedlots.

"You don't put America first by putting U.S. cattle producers last," U.S. Cattlemen's Association President Justin Tupper said in response.

Trump keeps saying that the U.S. doesn't need Canadian products. But guess what his new round of tariffs doesn't include? Canadian oil or gas.

Talk of turning Canada into a state is perhaps Trump's most hostile assault on Canadian pride. Trump had referred to former Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as Gov. Trudeau. (He's quite the card.) He called the border between our two countries "an artificially drawn line" and said he would use "economic force" to make a takeover happen.

While visiting the Oval Office last year, Carney said that Canada "is not for sale" and "won't be for sale ever." Trump responded, "Never say never."

Over the weekend, Trump's first vice president, Mike Pence, provided a dose of sobriety. "American consumers pay American tariffs," he said. "My hope is, for the sake of American families and for the sake of the American economy, that what we're looking at here is negotiation and not confrontation in a trade war."

Though Trump's tantrums should fly over the northern border like bad weather systems that will pass, the abuse has long-term effects that have already come back to bite us. Against Trump's wishes, Canada is now doing its separate deals with China. He has threatened a 100 percent tariff on Canada over that.

A recent Angus Reid survey of Canadians found that more than 75 percent wanted Carney to hold his ground, even as 90 percent worried about economic costs. The Canadian pollster has also found that 79 percent of Americans still liked Canadians. But even if Canadians don't think Americans dislike them, the fact remains that the voters elected Trump twice.

Trump just said he'll tack 50% tariffs on vehicles and parts from Canada. A silver lining is that Trump's broadsides have become so unhinged, the prospects of his Republican enablers retaining that much power after November are much reduced.

Trump may be seeming more temporary, but in the meantime, we have another war, a ridiculous trade war.

Hoekstra and Trump

70,000 Canadians File Petition To Oust Meddling US Ambassador  Over Provocations

After nearly two years of hostility from President Donald Trump and his MAGA allies, Canadians are fed up, and now more than 70,000 have signed a petition calling for the expulsion of the U.S. ambassador. According to the BBC, “The online petition accuses Pete Hoekstra of ‘making repeated interventions in Canadian political discourse’ and of having ‘normalized the Trump administration's threats to annex Canada as the “51st state”’ of the US.”

The petition – which comes as the two countries are engaged in fierce trade negotiations with the goal of securing an agreement before new tariffs leveled by Trump take effect next Wednesday – was launched by a Calgary resident. “It requests Ambassador Hoekstra be formally removed from his role, and a parliamentary committee review ‘US diplomatic interference in Canadian domestic affairs,’” reports the BBC. It also raises concerns about meetings in Washington between U.S. officials and a group of Alberta residents who want the province to secede from Canada.

Petition creator Leanne Walker was surprised by the response, saying, "It's beyond what I expected out of this. It tells me that it's not a fringe issue, and that a lot of Canadians are uncomfortable with how Hoekstra has been repeating Trump talking points about our sovereignty and Canada as a whole."

“A Republican and a Trump ally, Hoekstra has been a fierce defender of US President Donald Trump's trade policies, saying they are meant to secure the safety and prosperity of Americans,” the BBC explains, noting that his tenure has been characterized by tension between the neighboring nations. “There was a dust-up between Hoekstra and Ontario's trade representative, and the ambassador has been criticized for reposting Trump's comments about Canada becoming the 51st state and telling reporters it would be a "great discussion to be had" by the leaders of the two countries.

Most recently, he faced criticism for inviting one of the leaders of the 2022 Freedom Convoy movement to his official Fourth of July celebration. He has also described some of the political rhetoric in Canada as ‘anti-American’ and has frequently expressed frustration at the decision by most provinces to remove US alcohol from store shelves - a key point of friction in the current trade talks.”

Canadian Green Party leader Elizabeth May will bring the petition for Hoekstra’s recall to parliament later this year. As her office explained in a statement, “She has an obligation to sponsor petitions brought forward by citizens, regardless of whether she personally agrees with what the petition is asking for.”

As the BBC explains, “The House of Commons allows for Canadians to submit petitions, and there are dozens open at any given time, many receiving just a few hundred signatures. Once a petition, which must be submitted by a Canadian resident, is authorized by a member of parliament, it is posted on parliament's website. If it reaches at least 500 valid signatures, it is then presented in the House and requires a government response. The petition reached that bar as of Wednesday morning, garnering more than enough support to be presented in Canada's House of Commons.”

According to the BBC, “It comes at a time when Canadian negotiators are working urgently to avert a planned 50 percent American tariff on roughly $20bn to $28bn in Canadian goods. Last month, Trump announced the proposed tariffs in retaliation for what he called ‘unequal treatment’ of U.S. cars, dairy and alcohol. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney warned in response that a potential further retaliation was on the table if the new tariffs were enforced.”

Reprinted with permission from AlterNet


Trump and Carney

Get Ready To Pay For Trump's $300 Billion Temper Tantrum Over Canada

Feel like paying another $2,400 a year in taxes because an old man suffering from dementia got humiliated? That could end up being the case after Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s speech at Davos last week.

Donald Trump is threatening to impose a 100 percent tax (tariff) on items we import from Canada. The immediate cause of Trump’s anger is ostensibly that Canada signed a trade deal with China that would allow it to import 50,000 Chinese electric vehicles (EVs) a year with a very low tariff. Trump claimed that this would allow for China to evade U.S. tariffs on its cars by shipping cars through Canada and then taking advantage of the United States’ free trade deal with Canada and bringing them into the United States.

In his post this morning, Paul Krugman explained why this is absurd. (We don’t coordinate on these, just happened to think along the same lines.) First the number of cars involved is small, roughly three percent of Canada’s car market and 0.3 percent of the U.S. car market. So, there would not be much at stake here in any case.

But the second point Krugman makes is that under the trade deal, goods are still inspected at the border. He contrasts this with the customs union that the European Union has where as soon as an item clears one of the EU ports or borders, it can freely pass to the other member states without inspection, just like goods going from Ohio to Michigan.

This is actually a point worth highlighting. Under Trump’s tariff fest, countries face very different tax rates. This provides an enormous incentive to mask the origins of goods imported into the United States. This may be done by actually changing the production process, for example shipping components from China to Vietnam where they will be assembled into a refrigerator or television set. Or it could just mean writing on the box “made in Vietnam.”

In fact, it would be reasonable to suspect that something like this is taking place. Our imports from China through October were down by 25.3 percent. At the same time, imports from Vietnam increased by 40.4 percent. You’re welcome to believe that Vietnam suddenly became a much more attractive source for U.S. importers, but it seems more likely Chinese companies have figured out how to circumvent Trump’s tariffs.

Anyhow, transshipment is a real problem for someone like Trump trying to impose high tariffs, but the Chinese cars going to Canada are not going to be the issue. The issue is obviously that Carney humiliated Trump in front of the world with his speech at the Davos forum last week.

Trump could not care less about the country or the world, he cares about his image, and Carney had the courage to openly say that Trump is in fact an egotistical jerk, which he did very politely. Trump’s 100% tariff on our imports is his revenge for Carney’s truth-telling.

As usual, Trump seems rather clueless about the impact of his tariff. As all of the research shows, we pay the tariff, not the exporting country. A new study found that the United States paid 96% of the tariffs that Trump imposed last year.

It’s not clear whether Trump will actually go through with his tariffs on Canadian imports, which will freak out financial markets, or which goods he will tax and which he will exempt, but it is possible to get some idea of what this tax could look like. We likely imported around $380 billion in goods from Canada last year. (The data only run through October.) Assuming some items are exempted and some reduction in imports from the tax, a 100 percent tariff on Canadia imports would be in the ballpark of $300 billion.

This would be a bit less than 1.0 percent of GDP. It would be one of the largest tax hikes ever, coming to $2,400 per household. It would be more than 10 times the money needed to continue the enhanced subsidies in the Obamacare exchanges. It would be more than 40 times the money needed to continue the AIDS/PEPFAR program for Africa. This program, which Elon Musk killed with his little chainsaw, saved tens of millions of lives.

For most households, $2,400 a year is a lot of money to pay. But I’m sure we all will happily cough up the bucks to soothe Donald Trump’s wounded ego.

Dean Baker is a senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research and the author of the 2016 book Rigged: How Globalization and the Rules of the Modern Economy Were Structured to Make the Rich Richer. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

Reprinted with permission from Dean Baker.


Courageous Carney, Demented Donald And The Shameful End Of Pax Americana

Courageous Carney, Demented Donald And The Shameful End Of Pax Americana

On Tuesday Mark Carney, Canada’s Prime Minister, gave a remarkable speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos. In effect he announced, calmly and lucidly, that Canada is filing for divorce from the Pax Americana:

Let me be direct. We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition.
Over the past two decades, a series of crises in finance, health, energy and geopolitics have laid bare the risks of extreme global integration. But more recently, great powers have begun using economic integration as weapons, tariffs as leverage, financial infrastructure as coercion, supply chains as vulnerabilities to be exploited.
You cannot live within the lie of mutual benefit through integration, when integration becomes the source of your subordination.

And he urged other nations — implicitly, although he didn’t say it in so many words, the nations of Europe in particular — to join Canada in a new alliance of democracies no longer willing to take orders from an abusive hegemon:

[T]he middle powers must act together, because if we’re not at the table, we’re on the menu.

It was a brave stand to take. Canada sits right next to the United States, whose economy is a dozen times larger. Moreover, as the map below shows, Canada’s population lies almost entirely within a narrow band on top of the U.S. Back when I was writing a lot about economic geography, I used to joke that Canada was closer to the United States than it was to itself. Nature wants Canada and the United States to be closely intertwined. And for this reason Canada is arguably more exposed to the consequences of Trumpian wrath than any other nation.

Courageous www.nationalmemo.com

But democracies can no longer maintain close ties with the U.S. The day after Carney spoke, Donald Trump showed why.

I listened to Trump’s Davos speech with fear: How much damage will this demented, vindictive individual do to America and the world? I also felt a deep sense of shame: What is wrong with my country, that we put someone like this in a position of unprecedented power?

As the whole world watched, the president of the United States (God help us) repeatedly referred to Greenland, which he is willing to blow up NATO to acquire, as Iceland. Don’t dismiss this as trivial: if any previous president had been that befuddled, the whole press corps would have been howling about senility and demanding that he step down.

And of course Trump’s press secretary insisted that he didn’t say what we all saw and heard him say.

Trump also repeatedly displayed his trademark willful ignorance, for example when talking about renewable energy. While berating Europe for using wind energy, he admitted that China also has big wind farms — someone must have showed him pictures — but declared that

They put up a couple of big wind farms, but they don’t use them. They just put them up to show people what they could look like. They don’t spin, they don’t do anything.

In reality, China accounts for almost 40 percent of total world generation of electricity from wind power, substantially more than Europe.

Beyond confusion and ignorance, Trump delivered menace:

The horrifying details of Trump’s rant aside, what strikes me about the Trump administration’s performance at Davos — not just Trump himself but his minions — was the utter lack of purpose. The whole Trump team seems to have gone to Europe with no goal other than to belittle and insult their hosts.

On Tuesday evening Howard Lutnick, the Commerce secretary, spoke to a private dinner at Davos — at which he belittled European economies and their lack of competitiveness. He was reportedly booed, and Christine Lagarde, the president of the European Central Bank, walked out.

On Wednesday morning Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, dismissed reports that one major Danish pension fund has decided to divest itself of U.S. bonds by declaring that “Denmark’s investment in U.S. Treasury bonds, like Denmark itself, is irrelevant.”

And Trump devoted much of his speech to portraying Europe as a hellhole, its economy destroyed by renewable energy and its society destroyed by immigration.

Never mind whether any of this is true. (It isn’t.) What was the point of saying such things? Do Trump and his Mini-Mes imagine that they can convince European leaders that they, their economies, and their societies are all pathetic losers?

To say what should be obvious but apparently isn’t, we don’t need top government officials playing at being shock-jock podcasters, getting clicks by being outrageous. God knows, MAGA has plenty of those already. Official speeches aren’t supposed to be rants that provide red meat to your political base. They’re supposed to influence people who aren’t your supporters, in ways that serve the national interest.

This doesn’t mean that official speeches must be mealy-mouthed and boring. Mark Carney’s speech definitely wasn’t. But Carney had a clear purpose: To rally other nations into solidarity against U.S. economic blackmail.

Trump, on the other hand, just wanted to swagger, whine, and mostly hear himself talk. And all he accomplished was to turn suspicions that he’s gone off the deep end into certainty.

We’re already seeing some consequences of Trump’s ranting:

There will be much more of this. American power and influence have always rested, much more than many people realize, on the perception of American trustworthiness. We didn’t always do the right thing, but we honored our agreements and were the least greedy imperial power in history.

That’s all over. At Davos, Mark Carney called for giving up hope that the Pax Americana can be restored, and Donald Trump proved him right.

Paul Krugman is a Nobel Prize-winning economist and former professor at MIT and Princeton who now teaches at the City University of New York's Graduate Center. From 2000 to 2024, he wrote a column for The New York Times. Please consider subscribing to his Substack.

Reprinted with permission from Paul Krugman.

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