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Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Election polls released this week show Hillary Clinton leading in most of 2016’s battleground states, with a close contest between Clinton and Trump in Florida.

Despite a series of election trail faux pas by Trump in the past several weeks, Clinton maintains only a small lead over Trump in Iowa and Ohio. A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Wednesday shows Clinton and running mate Tim Kaine leading Trump and Mike Pence by 4 points in Iowa and 5 points in Ohio. In a previous poll, Clinton was polling at 42 percent compared to Trump’s 39 percent in Iowa, and the most recent poll shows her at 41 percent to Trump’s 37 percent. In Ohio, however, Clinton’s lead jumped: previously, the two were tied at 39 percent, and the most recent poll shows the contest at 43 percent to 38 percent for Clinton.

In Pennsylvania, the gap widens, with the Clinton/Kaine team leading the Trump/Pence team by 11 points. Not only has the NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll captured Clinton’s lead, so have two other Pennsylvania polls, with slightly different numbers. A Quinnipiac University poll also has Clinton 10 points ahead.

Clinton also made some inroads with moderate voters, upping her lead over Trump with this group in each of these three states.

The new Marist poll indicates that Clinton and Trump are each unpopular in Iowa, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. In Iowa, 57 percent of respondents had an unfavorable opinion of Clinton, as do 60 percent in Ohio and 53 percent in Pennsylvania. Trump’s negative ratings are greater in each of the states: 64 percent in Iowa, 61 percent in Ohio, and 63 percent in Pennsylvania. According to Marist, these numbers have not changed much since July.

According to Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, “Despite the national spotlight of the conventions focused on each candidate, Clinton and Trump have not made any headway in voters’ positive impressions of them.”

Quinnipiac also shows Clinton with just a 1 point lead over Trump in the key state of Florida.

 

Photo: Democratic U.S. presidential candidate Hillary Clinton waves as she arrives to speak during her California primary night rally held in the Brooklyn borough of New York, U.S., June 7, 2016. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

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