By Allison Brito

Poll: Liz Cheney’s Senate Aspirations May Be Dead On Arrival

July 23, 2013 6:01 pm Category: Memo Pad 17 Comments A+ / A-

Liz cheney

After announcing last week that she would be mounting a primary challenge against incumbent senator Mike Enzi (R-WY) for the U.S. Senate in Wyoming, early polls suggest Liz Cheney may have been overly optimistic about her odds of winning in the Cowboy State.

According to a Public Policy Polling poll released on Tuesday, only 33 percent of Wyoming voters have a favorable opinion of Cheney. Furthermore, the 46th vice president’s daughter trails both Senator Enzi and Representative Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) in a primary matchup.

At this point, Cheney’s only chance of winning the Senate seat would be the highly unlikely combination of Senator Enzi suddenly deciding to no longer seek re-election, and challenger Gary Trauner — who currently holds a 19 percent favorability rating in the state — winning the Democratic nomination.

Cheney isn’t as well received as her father, who holds a 50 percent favorability rating among Wyoming voters. This may have something to do with the fact that voters in Wyoming know that she isn’t native to the state. In the video announcing her candidacy Cheney claimed to be a Wyomingite, but declined to mention that she has never actually lived there. When asked by PPP “Do you think it would be more appropriate for Liz Cheney to run for the Senate from Wyoming or Virginia?” 50 percent of Wyoming voters said Cheney should consider running in Virginia.

Dean Debnam, president of PPP said, “Liz Cheney’s Senate prospects don’t look very good. Wyoming voters see her as an outsider, and on top of that Mike Enzi is very popular in the state.” Enzi holds a 59 percent approval rating, nearly double Cheney’s.

Even if Cheney were to defeat Enzi, she would face more trouble in the general election. In a hypothetical matchup between Cheney and former Democratic governor of Wyoming Dave Freudenthal, PPP finds Freudenthal ahead by a three-point margin. In the country’s third most conservative state, Cheney ought to be stunned and alarmed that a Democrat holds a viable chance of defeating her in a general election.

Realistically, Enzi’s state should remain comfortably in Republican hands, but if by chance Liz Cheney won the primary, she would be risking GOP control of the seat. In fact, before Cheney formally announced her campaign, former Wyoming senator Alan Simpson warned of the possibility of her running: “It’s a disaster—a divisive, ugly situation—and all it does is open the door for the Democrats for 20 years.”

Currently, Senator Enzi and the GOP have nothing to worry about come the November election. The chances of any Democrat winning in Wyoming, where nearly 50 percent of voters identify as conservative, is highly unlikely. Not only are voters in the state strongly supporting Enzi, but leaders in her own party have already turned their back on her and endorsed the incumbent senator.

Poll: Liz Cheney’s Senate Aspirations May Be Dead On Arrival Reviewed by on . After announcing last week that she would be mounting a primary challenge against incumbent senator Mike Enzi (R-WY) for the U.S. Senate in Wyoming, early polls After announcing last week that she would be mounting a primary challenge against incumbent senator Mike Enzi (R-WY) for the U.S. Senate in Wyoming, early polls Rating:

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Comments

  • nitrat

    Cheney’s = bad news wherever they go

    • FredAppell

      I guess we will never know. It sounds plausible that Enzi will keep his seat. The only chance a Democrat has in that state is if Cheney wins the nomination so that isn’t likely to happen. They call her an outsider, 10 to 1 say’s the real reason she is not popular is because she isn’t extreme enough for Wyoming conservatives.

      • abby725

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  • FredAppell

    She’s running against an incumbent Republican….i’d like to know which one is full on zany and which one is more moderate. Guarantee the zanier one wins.

  • Carol Dijkhuyzen

    Evil Liz Cheney,like father mean like daughter nasty…

  • docb

    HAVE NOT TALKED TO ONE WYOMING VOTER /FRIEND THAT is anything but insulted and angry about the underhanded and arrogant way cheney’s spawn, liz, announced her power grab!

    She will need to find another State where they allow power hungry carpet baggers to run. Take NY!.

    • FredAppell

      Who is worse though, Cheney or Enzi? The only thing I know about her is her father and the only thing I know about Enzi is the R in front of his name. It also seems clear to me that for a person to survive as long as Enzi has in Wyoming
      politics they have to be very conservative or backed by the Tea Party. Remember, Wyoming is still considered the cowboy state for a reason.

      • docb

        He, Enzi, is a conservative republican but not a tea bagger..but a Patriot. The cheney spawn is neither.

        • FredAppell

          Thank you. That’s a lot more than I knew 2 minutes ago. Much appreciated.

      • bobdevo

        He’s probably bad – but at least he is not Satan’s Spawn

        • FredAppell

          Very good point. That’s all I was asking.

  • http://ewparris.net/ e.w.parris

    There’s also the very real possibility of Enzi being incapacitated during a freak quail hunting accident.

    • bobdevo

      Memo to Mike: avoid blaze orange clothing

  • dougom

    It’s clear she has absolutely no idea how profoundly unlikeable she is.

    • bobdevo

      Her Dad likes her . . . ’nuff said.

  • ORAXX

    Liz Cheney is a younger version of Phyllis Schlafly, minus the wit and charm.

    • bobdevo

      Phyllis minus wit and charm + her Dad’s drunk-driving-draft-dodging-torturous-lying-sack-of-manure-war-criminal DNA.

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