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Monday, September 26, 2016

Republicans May Be Trampled By Bull Moose Revival

Dec. 13 (Bloomberg) — Last week, President Barack Obama gave a speech whose location, tone and language consciously evoked an address by Theodore Roosevelt at the outset of the 1912 presidential campaign. The deliberate historical echo, however, raised an intriguing question: Will Obama’s 2012 effort bear a closer resemblance to the one waged by Woodrow Wilson, Roosevelt’s opponent, than to the race run by TR himself?

Observers have noted the many similarities between Obama and Wilson. Both were scholarly, brilliant, and accomplished authors before becoming president. Both drew political strength from their gifts as speakers, and relied far less on conventional political attributes, such as an aptitude for backslapping and schmoozing. Both came from the reformist wing of their party, with little support from the insiders.

  • artbcpa

    As we have bgeun to see Americans Elect gain some traction with their recent appearances on the Sunday morning talk shows, I knew we would see some crazy arguments by members of both political parties, but this may be one of the craziest. The author of the article is trying to scare Republicans from supporting the third party movement because it might help Barack Obama win re-election. What a hoot! The opposite scenario is probably more likely (and I am sure we will see that argument from Democrats). Of course the one they are really afraid of is that people are truly fed up with both parties so that the third party might actually win and destroy their incestuous little arrangement up in Washington.

    Let’s look at the other two scenarios.

    A moderate third party candidiate wins the Americans Elect nomination and selects a Vice President of the other party. Remember that is a REQUIREMENT for the Americans Elect nomination. The ticket then carves out the middle from both parties.

    Here comes the key question. Which base is bigger – right wing conservative Republicans or left wing Democrats? If anyone really has any question about that, just take a look at what the Tea Party has been able to do in such a short amount of time. So under the first alternative secenario, the entry of a moderate third party ticket helps elect the Republican candidate.

    However the much more likely alternative with today’s economic disaster, the historically low ratings for both the President and the Congress, is that once people begin to see the third party candidate gaining a large percentage in the polls, peope will begin to flock to them and the third party actually has the best chance of winning EVER. We live in different times. No one would have ever believed that a person with the little amount of expereinece that Barack Obama had could knock off a well financed competitor like Hillary Clinton. So don’t be so surprised when Americans Elect’s candidate starts moving up in the polls and we will see many more articles like this from both political parties whose ONLY goal is to protect their turf.

  • Meshikee

    I can imagine the Tea Party wing attempting a takeover of AE sooner than I can see the progressive Dems doing it. They’re more focused (i.e., less open to dissent) and better organized. In addition, the polling of AE “delegates” that I see on their website puts the center of that self-selected demographic slightly to the right of Obama–even the disappointingly compromisable Obama–and well to the right of progressives. For all these reasons, I don’t see a progressive winning the AE primary.

    If that’s wrong, then you have a center-left candidate splitting the Democrat vote, and the GOP wins with another sawdust puppet like the last four Republican presidents (Bush, Bush, Reagan, Ford). Progressives want to avoid that more than they want to win an ideological wrestling match.

    In short, I think progressives know that the country is in a center-right era, and is not yet open to progressive solutions. Our fellow citizens are distracted, fearful, and complacent. They naturally tend toward conserving the status quo, in spite of how clear it is that conservative thinking has pushed us to the tipping point of a number of calamities (social, financial, environmental, military) all at once.

    The problem is not the system; it is the citizen. Because of this, I think progressive Democrats will have no serious option but to hold their nose and vote with the party.

  • Dana Goetz

    Will it help Obama’s re-election if there is a 3rd party candidate? It all depends on who will run. If it’s former Republican Governor Johnson, he may pull voters away from President Obama. He has a long standing platform of legalizing drugs. If he runs, I’m sure the media will concentrate on that aspect and pull young college students away from the Democrats. (An aside: Then, I’m sure the Walkers (Wis Gov) will kick themselves for making it almost impossible for college students to register and vote…..)