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Saturday, October 1, 2016

Let’s put this into context…

Polls of Polls Change Who’s Up
Real Clear Politics
Average
Obama
+.2
Obama
+1.8%
Talking Points Memo PollTracker Obama
+.8
Obama
+.2%
HuffingtonPost
Pollster
Obama
+.1
Tie
New York Times
FiveThirtyEight
No change Obama +2.1
Memo 
Average
 Obama +.2 Obama +1

Same-sex marriage hits the mainstream

The Democratic Party has announced that Same-Sex marriage has unanimously been added to the Party’s platform. Many anticipated a huge fight over the issue earlier in the year. But the President’s leadership has consolidated opinion and made marriage equality the mainstream view for Democrats.

Bill Clinton to nominate President Obama

President Obama personally asked former president Bill Clinton to nominate him at the upcoming Democratic National Convention.  Senate candidate and liberal icon Elizabeth Warren will speak before Clinton, whose popularity now matches the all-time high he reached around his first inauguration. Notably, both George W. Bush and Dick Cheney have announced they will skip their party’s convention.

The context wars

After weeks of taking the President’s quotes on small business out of context, the Romney campaign demanded that the media provide context for Mitt’s comments on Palestinian culture. This indicates how beyond the pale Romney’s comments about Palestinian culture were. Even John McCain couldn’t agree with them. This is an issue that will stimulate few voters but works into the Obama campaign’s assertion that Romney’s trip abroad has been all about fundraising, flubs and photo-ops. It’s hard to overstate the magnitude of Romney’s gaffes on this trip. Our Joe Conason points out that what Romeny said in Jerusalem were even worse than his foibles in London.

Forget intentionally offending the Palestians and Iran. Could Mitt honestly have intended to end up becoming the punchline of the 2012 Olympics or to be praising socialized medicine? The only good news is Romney’s jaunt through Poland today hasn’t yet yielded a gaffe worth mentioning.

Mitt’s issues poll well; the President still leads

Gallup released a poll that provided some good news for Romney’s messaging team. The top issues that voters say they care about read like Romney ad copy: 1. Creating good jobs; 2. Reducing corruption in the federal government; 3. Reducing the federal budget deficit. Most economists would say that numbers one and three are directly contradictory. And liberals would argue that if Mitt’s policies could create good jobs they would have worked when George W. Bush tried them. However, the fact that “Increasing taxes on wealthy Americans” was low on the list of concerns probably indicates that the President will need to adjust his message a  bit. Maybe tax increases on the wealthy could pay for the President’s American Jobs Act, which economists say would create over a million jobs.

Politics USA released a new national poll (PDF) showing the President up by 4%, which is good news for the Obama as his swing state numbers continue to outperform his national results.

Romney will do Paul Ryan’s bidding

Ryan Lizza from the New Yorker has a lengthy profile of Paul Ryan that’s well worth reading. The key takeaway:

To envisage what Republicans would do if they win in November, the person to understand is not necessarily Romney, who has been a policy cipher all his public life. The person to understand is Paul Ryan.

Grover Norquist famously suggested that Republicans just need a president who will sign what the Congress passes. So even if Romney doesn’t pick Paul Ryan, expect Democrats to treat the congressman as if he’s Mitt’s running mate. This could help the GOP ticket in Wisconsin and likely hurt them in Florida where Ryan’s Medicare plan is sacrilege to many.

 Verdict: President Obama’s steady poll performance and leadership on same-sex marriage outshine Mitt’s last attempts to salvage his foreign policy tour gone wrong.

  • Some of Romney’s political ads in Florida are designed to minimize the damage caused by Paul Ryan’s dismantling plan. There is one that specifically accuses Sen. Nelson and President Obama of planning to gut MEDICARE of $50B and reduce seniors benefits. The $50B refers to President Obama’s suggestion to use part of the 2003 MEDICARE Part D giveaway to the pharma and insurance industries ($5B a year) to help pay for healthcare reform and to eliminate the MEDICARE doughnut hole that cost many seniors thousands of dollars a year.

    • Ron

      Get your story straight and take out the lies

      • And you need to do your due diligence, Ron. BO is a usurper, illegal alien, and felonious identity thief. The SSN he is using was NOT issued to him and does not pass eVerify under his name. In addition, the SSN he’s using was issued to a man born in the late 1800’s. These are well known documented facts, including the FAKE birth certificate. It is F.A.K.E.

        Many are waking up to these facts, so what is taking the rest of you so long? I want to see YOU try to use a SSN that was not issued to you. You will find yourself cooling your jets in prison.

        Time to pull your heads out, folks. You have been deceived by the great L.I.A.R. in chief. How’s that kool-aid tasting now?

        • 1reason

          Betta, you are quite possibly insane. I don’t know where you get your “facts” but I think you ought to check the credentials of those publishing such nonsense thoroughly before swallowing it and certainly before repeating it. I suspect you lean very far to the right and consider Rush Limbaugh to be God’s mouthpiece. Very hippocritical for someone I assume calls themselves Christian. Last I checked one of the commandments was “thou shalt not bear false witness against another”(don’t lie) and isn’t there a bit about vengence belonging to the Lord, doesn’t God judge? And what about that golden rule deal? It saddens me that those of lower intellectual capacity or mental illness can be so easily swayed and riled up by any attention seeking jerk. I will pray for your recovery.

        • umphres

          Of course, it is hardly worth commenting on this rant. I am sure the readers take it for what it is.

  • Domonick, let’s hope that who ever produces the ads for FLA puts it the way you said it. And it sounds good to me!!!!!! The only people hurt are those that use their Medicare to pay for their gym fees and such.

    • The Medicare I have pays for what it wants to pay, not for what I want it to pay. It doesn’t pay gym fees and such. I am on physical therapy for a foot surgery that went badly, it pays part of that. Are you talking about physical or occupational therapy, perhaps? Those that have been prescribed by a physician?

  • onedonewong

    Sorry rasmussen the most accurtae of all polling since 2000 has barak DOWN 5 points

    • rmarqua2921

      And what poll is that? the poll of Fox News, LOL!

  • Randy4846

    If you wanted to get rid of much of the corruption in Washington, you’d have to get rid of the entire Republican Party.

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