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Kasich And Cruz’s Coordination May Be Too Late To Stop Trump

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Kasich And Cruz’s Coordination May Be Too Late To Stop Trump

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Republican presidential candidate John Kasich addresses the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) afternoon general session in Washington March 21, 2016. REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

Republican presidential candidates John Kasich and Ted Cruz announced Sunday night that their campaigns would coordinate three future presidential primary efforts to keep party frontrunner Donald Trump from securing the Republican nomination. But their agreement doesn’t do nearly as much as a stronger, earlier attempt at stopping the frontrunner would have.

For starters, the coordination agreement, or at least what’s been discussed publicly so far, only covers three states: Indiana, New Mexico, and Oregon.

Indiana, as a winner-take-all state at the district level and overall, is a must-win for the #NeverTrump camp. Polling from the state shows Trump with 39 percent of the vote, putting him ahead of Cruz by six points and ahead of Kasich by 20.

Despite his campaign’s statement, though, it appears Kasich still wants Indiana voters to support him. “I’ve never told them not to vote for me,” he said at a diner in Philadelphia. “They ought to vote for me.”

He boiled the agreement down to a cost-saving effort: “I’m not out there campaigning and spending resources,” he said. “I’m not going to spend resources in Indiana. [Cruz is] not going to spend resources in other places.”

The New York Times reported that Kasich’s super PAC was honoring the agreement and chose not to run ads for him in Indiana, though “New Day for America” PAC may have just seen the writing on the wall: FiveThirtyEight has consistently put Kasich’s odds at winning the state below one percent.

Polling is harder to come across for the two states ceded to Kasich. The Oregon primary isn’t until May 17 and New Mexico’s isn’t until June 7 (perhaps Kasich insisted on later dates to substantiate his claim that he would be staying in the race until the convention), but each awards delegates proportionally, softening the blow for Cruz.

Trump only needs 393 more delegates to win the nomination outright before the Republican National Convention this summer in Cleveland. According to an analysis by The Hill, if Trump wins at least 115 of the delegates up for grabs today, he will only need to win 22 of Indiana’s 57 delegates, 13 of Oregon’s 28 delegates and nine of New Mexico’s 24 delegates, less than half in each state, to remain on track for the nomination.

While the coordination between the Kasich and Cruz campaigns was a boon to anti-Trump Republicans, the newfound spirit of cooperation between the two may be too little, too late.

Photo: Republican presidential candidate John Kasich addresses the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) afternoon general session in Washington March 21, 2016.      REUTERS/Joshua Roberts

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9 Comments

  1. Dominick Vila April 26, 2016

    Had they, and/or Rubio, done something like this 3 months ago, they may have had a chance to guarantee a contested convention, it is now too little too late to slow down the Trump roller coaster. As mystifying as it may seem, the narcissism, irresponsibility, and immaturity of Donald Trump, and especially his expressions of xenophobia and hatred, appeal to a fairly large segment of our population. The more irresponsible and hateful his statements are, the more his supporters love him. That is a circumstance that cannot be ignored, and that says more about the “values” and goals of his supporters than the political strategy being used by Trump to become the front runner of the Grand Old Party.
    What remains to be seen is how many sane Americans are left, and how many of us will go to the polls in November.

    Reply
    1. FireBaron April 26, 2016

      Dom, I was listening to an NPR interview with Tom Ridge this morning. One thing he pointed out was except for New York, THE DONALD has yet to carry a state with more than 40% of the vote. And considering the numbers who have shown up, that is somewhat less than 15% of the Registered Republicans in those states.
      What amuses me about this is Trump’s poll numbers show he should have carried those states by at least 60%. Perhaps the Side Show Barker is less popular than he believes himself to be? Maybe others do not love him as much as he loves himself?

      1. Amanda Lemons April 27, 2016

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    2. CrankyToo April 26, 2016

      Oh ye, of little faith…

    3. BrownDog April 27, 2016

      One has to wonder if the popularity of Trump denotes the distrust the general public has for the reputation and job performance of professional politicians— self serving and loyal to the party instead of the people. Politicians give speeches cloaked in double talk, make election promises never kept, etc. For the last decade taxes have gone up, cost of goods have gone up. Private sector job growth is barely on par with pre-Fiscal Collapse, regardless of who was president. The so called job creation going on now is heavily weighed toward the service industry, noted for low pay. Detroit, the Rust Belt would like to know why the government hasn’t brought back all the factory jobs that went to other countries. Our farmers would like to know why the can’t freely sell crops on the world wide market. Citizens would like to know when the stifling plethora of more laws, regulations, mandates is going to stop and the government step out of our private lives. Our choice of party approved politicians are party hacks, a socialist, and a highly orchestrated puppet. Trump looks like a working light bulb at the end of a very dark tunnel to some.

      1. Dominick Vila April 27, 2016

        The problem is that the erosion of manufacturing jobs has more to do with corporations trying to take advantage of lower wages, and pursue the goal of expanding market share, than regulations or taxes.
        You are correct, however, many Trump supporters are angry and desperate, and are convinced that Trump may be the only candidate running to bring manufacturing jobs back to the USA. They are mistaken. Our government, regardless of which party is in control, will not stop U.S. corporations from pursuing business opportunities in other countries. In fact, the U.S. government will do everything it can to help corporate America prosper, because both parties believe that profitable and growing corporations, as well as trade, are good for the USA.
        Considering that some corporations are actually paying little or no taxes, that some profitable corporations are getting subsidies (corporate welfare), and that our regulations are not even close or as effective as those in EU member countries, the only way to change the status quo would be a revolution of the kind that Bernie Sanders is talking about, which I don’t think it is about to happen any time soon.

        1. BrownDog May 3, 2016

          U.S. corporations follow the laws of the land and pay the taxes required. The bitching about companies not paying their fair share or being subsidized by the government is due to the way the tax code is written, not by companies breaking the law. That businesses find a more profitable environment in foreign countries over the home turf is unfortunate and sad. For profit businesses have an obligation to its owners to maximize ROI.and that fuels the move out of the US. American citizens have paid the price as the result of the huge erosion of our manufacturing base. We all enjoy the cheap goods,but it hasn’t been without a cost to our nation’s fabric. On the other hand, one can blather one about how our investment is raising the standard of living for the truly downtrodden of the world, etc. etc. Any time control is left to an oligarchy, cost of management goes up, people pay more taxes, freedoms decrease. The U.S. is too large, too diverse for socialism by any name to be successful. Socialism can work in small countries with homogeneous populations. In my neck of the woods clothing and shoe manufacturing was the mainstay for decades. Sadly, that is all gone now. For what ever these jobs paid, for what ever working conditions existed, the workers earned enough to pay the bills, raise a family, or be dependent on government handouts. Now the kids here expect to live on tax dollars doled out to them as SOP..

  2. BrownDog April 26, 2016

    It certainly is reassuring that candidates want to rig the election so they can win–win for their god the NRP. Screw the citizens.

    Reply
  3. Ran_dum_Thot April 27, 2016

    Are the ‘Pubs really serious? They want to make a internal party squabble the focal point of the presidential campaign? Really? I guess taxes, jobs, health and our future as a nation are just not that important anymore.

    Reply

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