The stories you want. The opinions that matter.
No, thanks
Tag: 2020 polling
Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Poll: 53 Percent Of Americans ‘Definitely’ Will Vote To Oust Trump

Trump’s approval rating reached a ‘high’ in a new poll, but more than half of registered voters still disapprove of the job he is doing.

Even on his best day, most American voters are unhappy with Trump’s performance in the White House.

On Monday, a new poll from NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist shows Trump reaching a “new high” in his approval ratings of 44 percent. The same poll shows most registered voters in America — 52 percent — disapprove of the job Trump is doing.

When polling voters about whether or not they would vote for Trump in 2020, the numbers are significantly worse.

A full 53 percent of voters said they will “definitely vote against” Trump, while just 39 percent of voters say they will “definitely vote for” Trump. This is the fifth Marist poll in a row showing a majority of Americans will definitely vote against Trump in 2020.

While most Republicans support Trump and most Democrats oppose him, Trump fares particularly poorly among self-identified independent voters, losing the group by 21 points. Only 33 percent of independent voters will definitely vote for Trump, while 54 percent reported they will definitely vote against him.

For comparison to the previous administration, none of the six polls asking about President Barack Obama from November 2010 through November 2011 showed a majority committed to voting against him.

A majority of voters have consistently opposed Trump, even on Election Day 2016, when Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by roughly 3 million votes.

Since being in office, Trump’s tenure has been dominated by scandal and chaos. The Mueller report lays out evidence that Trump obstructed justice, and scores of Trump campaign officials are either in prison or awaiting jail sentences. Trump’s Cabinet has been rocked by scandals, the lastest of which saw Labor Secretary Alex Acosta resigning as more evidence came to light about the sweetheart plea deal he once gave a child rapist in Florida.

Trump himself spent the past week mired in controversy over racist attacks against four congresswomen, telling the women of color that they should “go back” to where they came from, as if their skin color makes them any less American than white citizens.

On the policy front, Trump championed a new tax law that benefits Wall Street corporations and billionaires like his Education Secretary Betsy DeVos while leaving working-class families out in the cold. He backed a Republican ploy to rip health care away from millions of Americans, and he currently supports a lawsuit that would take away protections for people with preexisting conditions.

His administration, his inaugural committee, the Trump Organization, and the Trump Foundation are all the targets of investigations, ranging from congressional inquiries, to state investigations, to federal probes.

Through it all, 89 percent of Republican voters are committed to voting for Trump in 2020, according to the latest poll. But overall, most voters seem tired of the scandals and say they are ready to vote against Trump next November.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

New National Poll Shows Trump Losing Badly To Biden, Sanders

New National Poll Shows Trump Losing Badly To Biden, Sanders

Trump can’t get more than 44 percent support when facing top Democratic challengers in a new poll from NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.

Americans appear like they may be ready to reject Trump and replace him with Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), or Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released on Sunday.

In the nationwide poll, Trump never manages to get more than 44 percent of support, while each of the candidates listed would win the popular vote if it were held today.

Biden fares best against Trump, leading him by a 51 percent to 42 percent margin. Sanders also hits 50 percent support, besting Trump 50 percent to 43 percent.

Elizabeth Warren holds a 5-point edge over Trump (48 percent to 43 percent), while Harris bests Trump by 1 point (45 percent to 44 percent). The poll was released Sunday morning, meaning Americans were polled before Trump unleashed a racist Twitter tirade attacking four congresswomen.

While more than 20 Democrats are vying to take Trump on next year, the NBC/WSJ poll only measured head-to-head matchups between those four candidates and Trump. However, the poll showed Trump’s approval rating hovering at 45 percent, with a clear majority (52 percent) disapproving.

At this time in 2011, President Obama was in a much better position, according to NBC News. In August 2011, Obama led eventual Republican nominee Mitt Romney by 1 point and went on to win the election by 4 points.

The poll mirrors the results of a June Quinnipiac University poll that also showed Trump losing to each of these candidates.

Trump’s reelection troubles make sense in light of other polls showing Americans unhappy with the way he handles major issues like the economy, health care, and immigration.

In 2016, Trump lost the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by 3 million votes, eeking out a narrow victory in the electoral college. However, his approval rating in swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Iowa has plummeted since he took office, falling by double-digits in some cases.

Biden, Harris, Sanders, Warren, and other Democrats vying to take Trump on held one debate at the end of June, and will hold another on July 30 and 31 in Detroit. A third debate has been scheduled for September 12 and 13 in Houston.

 

Published with permission of The American Independent.

Report: Trump Orders Aides To Lie About His Bad Poll Numbers

Report: Trump Orders Aides To Lie About His Bad Poll Numbers

Confronted with abysmal poll numbers in key 2020 states, Trump demanded his aides follow his example: Deny and lie.

According to a New York Timesreport, after internal polling conducted in May showed him trailing some Democratic contenders in states like Texas, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Trump ordered his aides to deny any such data existed.

But when the polling inevitably leaked, Trump “instructed aides to say publicly that other data showed him doing well,” reports the Times.

Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale appeared to follow through on Trump’s command to mislead the public. A day after news stories ran about the leaked internal polling that showed Trump struggling in key midwest states, Parscale spun the results on Twitter, claiming media outlets “continue to lie with polling to fit their narrative” and insisting Trump “is doing better now, than ever before, in our polling.”

But while Trump may want the public to believe the campaign’s misinformation, public polling still shows Trump is in trouble 18 months before the 2020 election. A recent tracking poll of Trump in all 50 states showed a sharp decline in Trump approval rating in key states like Pennsylvania, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Arizona.

And, out of 319 national polls since Trump entered the Oval Office, 318 showed more Americans disapproving of Trump than approving of his job performance.

In addition to general disapproval, voters are unhappy with how Trump is handling two of the most high-profile issues facing the country: health care and immigration.

Trump is actively trying to rip health care away from 20 million Americans and obliterate health care protections for people with preexisting conditions through a lawsuit to overturn the Affordable Care Act. But Trump’s anti-health care agenda is wildly unpopular, with 59 percent of Americans unhappy with the way Trump is handling the issue.

And of course, Trump has made immigration his signature issue, with a strong focus on cruel, anti-immigrant policies. But for voters in swing states like Florida and Wisconsin, Trump’s immigration policy is driving them to vote for someone else in 2020.

“Immigration may be important to keeping Trump’s base together, but it hurts him with the broader electorate,” Priorities USA said in a statement after a poll showed voters rejecting Trump’s immigration policies. In the poll, more than half of voters in several swing states said Trump’s stance is a reason to support someone else in 2020, with only 41 percent saying it was a reason to support Trump.

Published with permission of The American Independent.

IMAGE: Trump 2020 campaign manager Brad Parscale.

Poll: More Than Half Of Voters ‘Definitely’ Oppose Trump In 2020

Poll: More Than Half Of Voters ‘Definitely’ Oppose Trump In 2020

The 2020 election is more than a year and a half away. But already, more than half of adults say they won’t even consider voting for Trump.

According to a new ABC News/Washington Post survey released Monday morning, 55 percent of adults say they will “definitely not vote for [Trump]” — an ominous sign for Republicans this far out from Election Day.

That number is buoyed by both Democrats and independents, with a majority of both groups saying they won’t vote for Trump in 2020. According to the poll, 95 percent of Democrats say they won’t vote for Trump, while 51% of independents say they won’t vote for Trump.

Also problematic for Trump is that only 63 percent of Republican voters say they’ll “definitely” vote for Trump, while 15 percent of GOP voters say they definitely won’t vote for him. Losing that big a chunk of his own party could be devastating for Trump’s re-election bid.

According to the poll, two issues driving opposition to Trump are his cruel policies toward immigrants, as well as his handling of health care. The survey showed that 44 percent of adults said Trump’s handling of “illegal immigration” make them more likely to oppose Trump’s re-election, while 40 percent say Trump’s handling of health care makes them more likely to oppose him in 2020.

Trump’s treatment of immigrants and asylum seekers — including ripping kids from their parents and jailing immigrants in what look like dog cages — have led to a serious outcry from the public. Trump, however, has shown zero remorse for how he has treated this vulnerable population.

And Trump and the GOP’s attempts to repeal the Affordable Care Act — which would remove protections for people with pre-existing conditions — has also led to a serious blowback that helped Democrats win back control of the House in 2018 in a massive wave.

Of course, the 2020 election is a long way away.

But given that Trump has never moderated nor changed his behavior since he announced his first White House bid with a racist speech back in 2015, the results of this new poll should strike fear in those who want to see him re-elected.

Published with permission of The American Independent.